気候変動予測とアフリカ南部における応用

査読付き論文


Beal, L., W. P. M. De Ruijter, A. Biastoch, R. Zahn, and SCOR/WCRP/IAPSO Working Group 136, 2011: On the role of the Agulhas system in ocean circulation and climate. Nature, 472, 429-436.

Behera S., and T. Yamagata, 2010: Imprint of the El Niño Modoki on decadal sea level changes, Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L23702, doi:10.1029/2010GL045936. 

Kataoka, T., T. Tozuka, Y. Masumoto, and T. Yamagata, 2011: The Indian Ocean subtropical dipole mode simulated in the CMIP3 models, Climate Dynamics, doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1271-2.

Morioka, Y., T. Tozuka, and T. Yamagata, 2010: Climate variability in the southern Indian Ocean as revealed by self-organizing maps. Climate Dynamics, 35, 1075-1088.

Morioka, Y., T. Tozuka, and T. Yamagata, 2011: On the growth and decay of the subtropical dipole mode in the South Atlantic. Jounal of Climate, 24, 5538-5554.

Morioka, Y., T. Tozuka, S. Masson, P. Terray, J.-J. Luo, and T. Yamagata, 2012: Subtropical dipole modes simulated in a coupled general circulation model. Journal of Climate, in press.

Nakamura, M., 2012: Impacts of SST anomalies in the Agulhas current system on the regional climate variability, Journal of Climate, Vol.25, 1213-1229.

Nagura, M., W. Sasaki, T. Tozuka, J.-J. Luo, S. Behera, and T. Yamagata, 2012: Longitudinal Biases in the Seychelles Dome Simulated by 35 Ocean-Atmosphere Coupled General Circulation Models. J. Geophys. Res., in press.

Ratna, S.B., S.K. Behera, J.V. Ratnam, K. Takahashi, and T. Yamagata, 2012: An index for tropical temperate troughs over southern Africa, Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1540-8.

Ratnam, J. V., S. K. Behera, Y. Masumoto, K. Takahashi, and T. Yamagata, 2011: A simple regional coupled model experiment for summer-time climate simulation over southern Africa. Climate Dynamics, DOI 10.1007/s00382-011-1190-2.

Richter, I., S. K. Behera, Y. Masumoto, B. Taguchi, N. Komori, and T. Yamagata, 2010: On the triggering of Benguela Ninos: Remote equatorial versus local influences. Geophysical Research Letters, 37, L20604, doi:10.1029/2010GL044461.

Sasaki, W., J.-J. Luo, and S. Masson (2012): Tropical cyclone simulation in a high-resolution atmosphere-ocean coupled general circulation model. "Cyclones: Formation, triggers and control" edited by K. Oouchi and H. Fudeyasu, NOVA publishers, New York.

Sasaki, W., K.J. Richards, and J.-J. Luo (2012): Impact of vertical mixing induced by small vertical scale structures above and within the equatorial thermocline on the tropical Pacific in a CGCM. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1593-8.

Sasaki, W., K.J. Richards, and J.-J. Luo (2012): Role of vertical mixing originating from small vertical scale structures above and within the equatorial thermocline in an OGCM. Ocean Modelling, 57-58, pp.29-42, doi:10.1016/j.ocemod.2012.09.002.

Tozuka, T., T. Doi, T. Miyasaka, N. Keenlyside, and T. Yamagata, 2011: Key factors in simulating the equatorial Atlantic zonal sea surface temperature gradient in a coupled general circulation model, J. Geophys. Res., 116, C06010, doi:10.1029/2010JC006717.

Tozuka, T., B.J. Adiodun, and F.A. Engelbrecht, 2013: Impacts of convection schemes on simulating tropical-temperate troughs over southern Africa. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1738-4

 

プレス発表等


This is what is wrong with the weather!

【南アフリカ共和国の新聞で、日本側研究代表者の山形俊男と南アフリカ共和国側研究者のHannes Rautenbachが、南アフリカ共和国の異常気象の原因についてコメント】(5/13/2010)

JAMSTECアプリケーションラボ 国際シンポジウム -南アフリカにおける気候変動と亜熱帯海洋の役割- の開催について(11/10/2009)


関連論文(査読付き)


Doi, T., T. Tozuka, and T. Yamagata, 2010: The Atlantic Meridional Mode and its coupled variability with the Guinia Dome. Journal of Climate, 23, 455-475.

Izumo, T., J. Vialard, M. Lengaigne, S. Masson, S, Cravatte, C.B. Montegut, J.-J. Luo, S. K. Behera, and T. Yamagata, 2010: Role of Indian Ocean in extending El Nino predictability. Nature Geoscience, 3, 168-172.

Luo, J.-J., R. Zhang, S. Behera, Y. Masumoto, F.-F. Jin, R. Lukas and T. Yamagata, 2010: Interaction between El Nino and extreme Indian Ocean Dipole. Journal of Climate, 23, 726-742.

Luo, J.-J., W. Sasaki, and Y. Masumoto (2012): Indian Ocean warming modulates Pacific climate change, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 109(46), pp.18701-18706, doi:10.1073/pnas.1210239109.

Nagura, M., and M. J. McPhaden, 2012: The dynamics of wind-driven intraseasonal variability in the equatorial Indian Ocean, J. Geophys. Res., 117, C02001, doi:10.1029/2011JC007405.

Nakamura N., H. Kayanne, H. Iijima, T. R. McClanahan, S. Behera, and T. Yamagata, 2009: Mode shift in the Indian Ocean climate under global warming stress. Geophysical Research Letters, 36, L23708, doi:10.1029/2009GL040590.

Nakamura, N., H. Kayanne, H. Iijima, T. R. McClanahan, S. K. Behera, and T. Yamagata: Footprints of IOD and ENSO in the Kenyan coral record, Geophys. Res. Lett., doi:10.1029/2011GL049877, in press.

Rao, S. A., J.-J. Luo, S. K. Behera, and T. Yamagata, 2009: Generation and termination of Indian Ocean Dipole events in 2003, 2006 and 2007. Climate Dynamics, 33, 751-767.

Wang, B., J.-Y. Lee, I.-S. Kang, J. Shukla, C.-K. Park, A. Kumar, J. Schemm, S. Cocke, J.-S. Kug, J.-J. Luo, T. Zhou, B. Wang, X. Fu, W.-T. Yun, O. Alves, E. K. Jin, J. Kinter, B. Kirtman, T. Krishnamurti, N. C. Lau, W. Lau, P. Liu, P. Pegion, T. Rosati, S. Schubert, W. Stern, M. Suarez, and T. Yamagata, 2008: Advance and prospectus of seasonal prediction: assessment of the APCC/CliPAS 14-model ensemble retrospective seasonal prediction (1980-2004). Climate Dynamics, 33, 93-117.

Yokoi, T., T. Tozuka, and T. Yamagata, 2012: Seasonal and interannual variations of the SST above the Seychelles Dome, Journal of Climate. 25, 800-814.