Program

Day 1: Thursday, 3rd September

8:30-9:10 Registration
9:10-9:15 Logistic Guidance Takeshi Doi
9:15-9:25 Opening Addresses Yoshihisa Shirayama (JAMSTEC Executive Director)
9:25-9:30 Workshop Objectives Swadhin Behera (JAMSTEC)

Overview of climate variability and predictability in the tropics

Chair: Swadhin Behera

9:30-10:00 Extended Range and Seasonal Monsoon Prediction Research in India Madhavan Nair Rajeevan (Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, India) [Invited]
10:00-10:30 Recent Progress in Understanding MJO Dynamics Tim Li (International Pacific Research Center, U.S.A.) [Invited]
10:30-10:45 Tea Break
10:45-11:10 Sub-seasonal prediction of MJOs and extreme events Yuhei Takaya, Satoko Matsueda, and Takuya Komori (Climate Prediction Division, Japan Meteorological Agency, Japan) [Invited]
11:10-11:35 Deep Moist Convections in the Sub-kilometer Global Simulation Yoshiyuki Kajikawa (Advanced Institute for Computational Science / RIKEN, Japan) [Invited]
11:35-11:55 The societal implications of seasonal climate variations in the Indian Ocean Swadhin Behera (JAMSTEC)
11:55-13:30 Lunch Break

Intra-seasonal climate variability and predictability

Chair: Kazuyoshi Oouchi

13:30-13:50 MJO as a balanced cold-reservoir convective regime over the tropical warm pool Kazuyoshi Oouchi (JAMSTEC)
13:50-14:10 Breaking down the MJOs produced in NICAM Tomoki Miyakawa (Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute (AORI), The University of Tokyo)
14:10-14:30 Extended-range forecast of tropical cyclogenesis in the western north Pacific using NICAM Masuo Nakano, Tomoe Nasuno (JAMSTEC), Kazuyoshi KiKuchi (IPRC/U.Hawaii), and Masaki Satoh (AORI/U.Tokyo)
14:30-14:50 MJO simulation in a cloud permitting ocean-atmosphere coupled model Sasaki Wataru (JAMSTEC)
14:50-15:10 Variability in moist static energy budget associated with Madden-Julian oscillation over the Maritime Continent Satoru Yokoi (JAMSTEC).
15:10-15:30 Tea Break

Observation and modeling of seasonal climate predictability

Chair: Takeshi Doi

15:30-15:55 A challenge to S2S through the YMC field campaign Kunio Yoneyama (JAMSTEC) [Invited]
15:55-16:20 15 years progress of the TRION buoy project - success, failure and future - Kentaro Ando, Yoshifumi Kuroda, Iwao Ueki, and Yasuhisa Ishihara (JAMSTEC) [Invited]
16:20-16:45 MIROC5 seasonal prediction system: focusing on the ENSO prediction in 2014 Yukiko Imada (Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency, Japan) [Invited]
16:45-17:05 SINTEX-F seasonal prediction system Takeshi Doi (JAMSTEC)
17:05-17:25 Toward extended forecasting using a global nonhydrostatic model Tomoe Nasuno (JAMSTEC)
17:30- 19:30 Reception at JAMSTEC Guest House

Day 2: Friday, 4th September

9:30-9:35 Logistic Guidance Takeshi Doi

Climate processes leading to scale interaction

Chair: Wataru Sasaki

9:35-9:55 A 117-year long index of the Pacific-Japan pattern with application to interdecadal variability Hisayuki Kubota (JAMSTEC), Yu Kosaka (University of Tokyo), and Shang-Ping Xie (Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego)
9:55-10:15 Inter-basin connection between the tropical Indian and Pacific Oceans Takashi Mochizuki (JAMSTEC)
10:15-10:35 Downscaling seasonal climate variability over Southeast Asia and its association with the large-scale climate modes Satyaban Bishoyi Ratna (JAMSTEC)
10:35-10:55 Two flavors of the Indian Ocean Dipole Satoru Endo (Graduate School of Science, The University of Tokyo), and Tomoki Tozuka (Graduate School of Science, The University of Tokyo)
10:55-11:10 Tea Break
11:10-11:30 Ningaloo Niño simulated in the CMIP5 models Shoichiro Kido (Graduate School of Science, The University of Tokyo), Takahito Kataoka (Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, The University of Tokyo), and Tomoki Tozuka (Graduate School of Science, The University of Tokyo)
11:30-11:50 Evolution and Intensification of Cyclone Pam (2015) transformed from a Madden-Julian Oscillation Event in March 2015 Tetsuya Takemi (Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University)
11:50-12:10 On the role of continental convection in equatorial Atlantic surface wind variability Ingo Richter (JAMSTEC)
12:10-12:30 Summary & Discussion Swadhin Behera
12:30-14:00 Lunch Break
14:00-14:30 Science tour to the Earth Simulator
14:30-17:30 Free time for individual interactions and collaborative discussions