第27回 ESCセミナー
Towards a strategy for climate model development and evaluation
- 日時
- 2007年8月1日 (水) 16:00-17:00
- 場所
- 横浜研究所 交流棟2階 小会議室1, 2
- 講演者
- Dr. Richard Wood (Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK)
- 使用言語
- 英語
要旨
Following the IPCC 4th assessment report, many comments have been made in policy circles that the science of climate change is done. However, while the evidence of human influence on climate is now very strong, and a consistent picture is emerging from projections of large scale climate change in the future, this leads to a new set of more detailed questions: what mitigation options maximise the chance of stabilising the climate at a certain level? What information can be provided to governments, organisations and individuals to inform their decisions on adapting to climate change?
This new set of scientific questions imposes a new, wider set of demands on climate models. We are being asked to provide information on a wider range of space and time scales than before. How should we develop our models to meet this challenge? How do we decide the relative importance of model resolution, complexity and ensemble size? In this talk I will present our current plans for model development at the Hadley Centre, including our approach to model evaluation in the context of the new scientific agenda.
問い合わせ先
地球シミュレータセンター複雑性シミュレーション研究グループ
高橋 桂子
Phone : 045-778-5834
e-mail :
