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Program Activity
| Dr. K. Takaya received the Yamamoto-Syouno
Award from Meteorological Society of Japan in 2002 for a paper entitled
"A Formulation of a Phase-Independent Wave-Activity Flux for Stationary
and Migratory Quasigeostrophic Eddies on a Zonally Varying Basic
Flow". "Wave-activity" fluxes proposed in previous studies have
not been able to correctly represent snapshot features of threedimensional
Rossby wavepacket propagation embedded on a zonallyasymmetric basic
flow, which could have strongly affected weather conditions. In
the paper, he defined a new "wave-activity" to formulate a new wave-activity
flux, which can depict such snapshot propagation. This formulation
will greatly contribute to the theoretical extensions of geostrophical
fluid dynamics. Moreover, this new flux has been a useful diagnostic
tool to analyze observed and numerical data in the mid-latitude
atmosphere. Actually, the flux has been used for monthly report
on climate system of Japan Meteorological Agency for more than three
years and its usefulness has been highly appreciated. |
| Yasunari, Kimura, Fujiyoshi, Masuda, and
Oki participated the meeting on the GAME International Scientific
Panel held on 6-7 November in Tokyo. It has been decided to organize
a meeting on regional climate modeling related to Monsoon, and to
collect and share of 5-year climate data from 1997-2001 to discuss
the annual variation. From 29-30 October, Yasunari, Masuda, and
Oki joined the Workshop on GAME-Tropics (Chiang Rai, Thailand).
Topics emphasized include science basis for water resource prediction,
and capacity building of researchers in Asia.
From 30 September to 1 October, Oki and Motoya
participated in the Kick-off Workshop on Global Soil Wetness Project
(GSWP). Many discussions were made on the model inter-comparison
by the land surface process simulation using the common input dataset,
and the strategy for a longer-term simulation in the next phase
of GSWP. At the International Conference on mesoscale convective
systems and heavy rainfall/snowfall in East Asia held on 29-31 October
in Tokyo, Nakamura presented simulation results on mesoscale disturbances
observed in the Meiyu Frontal Zone. |
| We would like to introduce Dr. Wing-Le Chan, a researcher
in the Paleoclimate Group.
My main interests originally lay in the numerical
modeling of stellar atmospheres, including simple radiative and
convective processes, which I carried out while I was at the University
of London. Since working in Japan, my field of research has become
much closer to home. As a member of the paleoclimate group within
the Global Warming Research Program, I have been studying the effects
of changes in saline water input to the North Atlantic resulting
from land changes on global climate. A geophysical fluid dynamics
laboratory (GFDL) coupled atmosphereocean model, comprising of an
R15 atmospheric model and a Cox ocean model, has enabled our team
to obtain experimental data spanning several thousands of years
for various sensitivity experiments within a reasonable amount of
time. In particular, I am investigating the separate roles of the
Mediterranean outflow water and the Agulhas Current in the maintenance
of the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation and their influences
on global ocean circulation and climate. |
| Report by Drs. Prabir K. Patra and Shamil Maksyutov.
In the Greenhouse Gases Modeling Group, we
are aiming to estimate the regional fluxes of carbon dioxide (CO2)
by using the information from atmospheric data and its variability.
Since most of the present CO2 measurement
stations are located to keep track of the long-term background changes,
the inverse model estimates of surface fluxes are not well determined
on the regional scale. Our attention is focused on improving present
measurement network of CO2 optimally
for better regional source distribution. Such study is also recommended
to observe the changes occurring under the Kyoto Protocol for mitigating
the anthropogenic component of greenhouse gas emission, while increasing
the terrestrial CO2 uptake in biomass.
The implementation of optimal network simulation is generally probabilistic
and computer-time consuming at present. We have introduced "incremental"
optimization technique to study the dearth in currently operating
CO2 measurement network and propose
possible extensions in order to estimate regional fluxes of CO2
with greater confidence using inverse models. We have identified
that the continental South America, Africa and some parts of Asia
require more CO2 observations.
Since new algorithm is less computer-time demanding, fifteen transport
models are utilized in the inverse model calculations. This helps
reducing uncertainties in the optimal extensions due to the inaccuracies
in model transport. These results are in use while selecting the
new observation sites under the recently funded CO2
observation projects. |
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