I have become the Program Director
of the Ecosystem Change Research Program on the 1st of August in
this year. This program was established almost five years ago in
October 1, 1999, under the leadership of Prof. Yoshifumi Yasuoka.
Five years of efforts by the Program members have been performed
in the field of ecosystem modeling, which is a rather new field
of science. The following research subjects are now undertaken.
1) The ecosystem process model on carbon cycling (Sim- CYCLE) has
been developed to evaluate the influence of terrestrial ecosystem
change on climatic/environmental change. Modeling of the effects
of climate changes on vegetation, forest dynamics, and the installation
of Sim- CYCLE to the FRCGC integrated model for global change are
also undertaken.
2) Marine biological research has been focused both on changes of
temporal/spatial patterns in oceanic ecosystems and a modeling of
oceanic food web ecosystems.
3) In addition, ecosystem change detection and data assimilation
have been conducted by using satellite remote sensing. Satellite
observational methods have been improved for assessing the spatial
distribution and dynamics of ecosystem-related variables.
Although the basic knowledge on temporal and spatial phenomena remains
unclear, because of the highly complex characteristics of natural
ecosystems, our program has made significant progress during this
past five years. Here, I would like to introduce my experiences
for conducting the ecological projects supported by MEXT and Japan
Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS) concerned with global
environmental issues. IGBP-MEXT(Second Term) was conducted from
fiscal year 1997 to 2001 with the project title of 'Response of
Terrestrial Watershed Ecosystem to Global Change' along a line of
IGBP-GCTE-TEMA in Monsoon Asia. In this project, I was a project
leader and Prof. T. Kohyama of Hokkaido University was a sub-leader
with the project office at the Institute for Hydrosphere-Atmosphere
Sciences of Nagoya University. Responses of the watershed to elevated
CO2 concentration were investigated along the expanding spatial
scale from a leaf, shoot, tree, forest/soil to a stream, river and
lake. Here, IGBP, GCTE and TEMA denote International Geosphere?Biosphere
Programme, Global Change and Terrestrial Ecosystem, and Terrestrial
Ecosystem in Monsoon Asia, respectively. IGBP was initiated in 1991
and succeeded its first phase of almost 10 years, over 11 research
areas concerning carbon cycling. Almost all young scientists in
our ecosystem program probably gained some scientific experience
in the implementation of IGBP program during this past ten years.
Two other projects were also conducted simultaneously from 1997
to 2001. One is JSPS'project on the environmental conservation in
Asian regions named "Research for the Future Program with emphasis
on interactive cycles between humans and nature in the lake Biwa-Yodo
River Watershed". The second concerned the biodiversity funded
by a MEXT Grant-in Aid for Creative Basic Research. I participated
as a project leader for the former and a core member for the latter.
As the chief of the Center for Ecological Research of Kyoto University
from 1996 to 2000, I was quite busy with the administrative duties
as well as these research projects. However, during these years,
I learned much concerning global environmental issues, carbon and
nitrogen cycling, biodiversity, and sociobiogeochemistry, which
is a part of social sciences. The project on the Lake Biwa-Yodo
River watershed is still continuing in Research Institute for Humanity
and Nature, the previous institute I stayed. On the basis of these
project experiences, I would like to promote the activities of our
Ecosystem Change Research Program with a broad perspective concerning
global warming and the interactive cycles between humans and nature.
Below is a schematic figure illustrating a framework of research
expected in our program, with the location indicated for each project
undertaking in this fiscal year. Red-colored key words correspond
to my new aspects in our program. The following points will be taken
into consideration as important items.
1) It is rather easy to decide a project title. However it is very
difficult to clarify its practical purposes with practical
implementations.
2) The inter-disciplinary complex between natural and social sciences
could be understood and allied within each individual. Integration
over different disciplines could be promoted more effectively with
progress in mutual understanding by means of cooperative studies.
3) Applied and basic studies can be applied to social dimensions,
for example, by introducing an informative index or modeling for
assessing the adaptive management of P-D-C-A (Planning-Do-Check-Action)
cycle.
A new paradigm on temporal and spatial dimensions is created in
the field of ecology by combining satellite information, the Earth
Simulator system and ecosystem modeling. Examination of our proposed
model could be conducted by using time-integrated parameters such
as stable isotope ratio and genetic sequences. The second phase
of our program (2004-2009) will focus on the following; 1) elucidation
of fundamental ecosystem processes that govern the ecosystem response
to climatic global change, 2) the installation of ecosystem models
to the global integrated model and 3) intensive scientific contributions
to the social systems involving developments of diagnostic indicators
and models. We will strive to develop pioneering research and achieve
significant results in these fields.