Climate extremes, such as heat weaves and frequent occurrences of typhoons, have affected Japan and many parts of Asia in this year. These extreme events are sometimes linked to the large-scale ocean circulations and climate variability. At Application Laboratory (APL), we have been studying the ocean and climate variability to understand the processes and to incorporate those understanding in developing the ocean and climate prediction systems. The recent introduction of AI/ML in our research has widen the scope of our research and will help us to improve the predictions and their applications. We organized a workshop on November 16th to discuss these research developments some of which we have conducted in collaboration with several national and international research centers and universities.

In addition to research on ocean and climate variability and prediction, APL researchers have been involved with societal applications based on those predictions. One such application studies is carried out in the field of infectious disease using the JICA/JST/AMED SATREPS framework. In this application project, APL researchers worked together with researchers form Nagasaki University and several institutions in South Africa, under the umbrella of ACCESS, to develop a climate prediction based early warning system for infectious diseases, such as malaria, in southern Africa. The outstanding research outcomes and the implementation plan for the early warning system will be discussed at the symposium on November 15th.


Date and Venue




Only the symposium on 15th is open to the public.
Please kindly note that the agendas are subject to change without notice depending on circumstances.

15 November, 2018【Symposium】

@ Conference Hall on the 2nd floor, Sanjo Kaikan, University of Tokyo

Welcome and inaugural addresses
10:00-10:25 Dr. Swadhin Behera, APL, JAMSTEC
Dr. Hide Sakaguchi, Executive Director, JAMSTEC
Ms. Eudy Mabuza, Embassy of South Africa
H.E. Mr. Jose Maria da Silva de MORAIS, Ambassador, Embassy of Mozambique
Ms. Mutsuko Yasuda, Director for International Cooperation, MEXT
Dr. Kaname Kanai, JICA
Prof. Noboru Minakawa, Nagasaki University
Dr. Neville Sweijd, ACCESS, South Africa
Prof. Toshio Yamagata, APL, JAMSTEC
10:25-10:30 Group photo
Session 1:Infectious disease early warning system (iDEWS) for southern Africa
(Chairs: Prof. Hashizume and Prof. Landman)
10:30-10:50 The iDEWS project for developing a malaria early warning system in South Africa (Prof. Noboru Minakawa, Nagasaki Univ.)
10:50-11:10 Applying proxy data to investigate the relationship between climate variability and infectious disease incidence in South Africa (Dr. Neville Sweijd, ACCESS, South Africa)
11:10-11:30 Malaria and climate in Limpopo South Africa (Mr. Eric Mabunda/Dr.Tsuzuki,Tzaneen Malaria Institute, South Africa)
11:30-11:50 Climate-based predictions of malaria outbreak in South Africa based on a machine learning framework (Dr. Takayoshi Ikeda, JAMSTEC)
11:50-12:10 Malaria prediction using weather-based time-series distributed lag nonlinear model: a simulation study (Dr. Yoonhee Kim, Univ. of Tokyo)
12:10-12:30 Strategy for Natural Disasters Preparedness and Resilience in Mozambique (Dr. Aderito Celso Felix Aramuge, INAM, Mozambique)
12:30-14:00 lunchLunch
Session 2: Role of climate in disease outbreaks
(Chairs: Prof. Minakawa and Dr. Sweijd)
14:00-14:20 Indian Ocean climate link to the malaria incidences in Limpopo (Dr. Swadhin Behera, JAMSTEC)
14:20-14:40 On statistical seasonal malaria prediction for Limpopo, South Africa (Prof. Willem Landman, University of Pretoria, South Africa)
14:40-15:00 Surface frontogenesis of the Agulhas Return Current front (Dr.Tomoki Tozuka, Univ. of Tokyo)
15:00-15:20 Antarctic stratospheric ozone and seasonal predictability over southern Africa (Dr. Francois Engelbrecht, CSIR, South Africa)
15:20-15:40 Decadal climate variability and predictability over the South Atlantic and southern Indian Oceans (Dr. Yushi Morioka, JAMSTEC)
15:40-16:00 Improving austral summer precipitation forecasts of SINTEX-F2 CGCM over southern Africa by simple bias correction techniques (Dr. Venkata Ratnam Jayanthi, JAMSTEC)
16:00-16:30 Coffee
16:30-16:50 Community-based fieldwork in Giyani and identifying environmental risk factors for infectious disease (Dr. Caradee Wright, MRC, South Africa)
16:50-17:10 Is there a missing link between society and the scholarly enterprise of early warning systems? (Dr. Joel Botai, SAWS, South Africa)
17:10-17:30 The need for early warning systems within the E8 countries targeting elimination of malaria(Prof. Rajendra Maharaj, MRC, South Africa)
17:30-18:10 Panel Discussions (way forward in research collaborations and operationalization of the malaria early warning system): (Prof. Minakawa, Prof. Hashizume, Prof. Blumberg, Dr. Mphepya, Prof. Landman, Dr. Sweijd, and Dr. Behera)
18:10-18:20 Closing remarks

16 November, 2018【Workshop

@ Miyoshi Memorial Hall,Yokohama Institute for Earth Sciences, JAMSTEC

International collaborative studies on climate prediction and application I
(Chairs: Dr. Behera and Dr. Richter)
10:00-10:25 Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change, Dr. Antonio Navarra CMCC, Italy
10:25-10:50Spring view of El Niño diversity, Prof. Shang-Ping Xie, SIO, USA
10:50-11:15 Wagging the Pacific Dog with its Indian tail. Prof. Henk Dijkstra, Utrecht University, Netherland
11:15-11:40NORPAN/InterDec: EU-Japan collaborations in Atmosphere-ocean-ice interaction in the climate system, Prof. Hisashi Nakamura, Univ. of Tokyo
11:40-12:05JAMSTEC-IPRC collaborations: Atmosphere-Ocean interactions over the Maritime Continent, Prof. Kelvin Richards, IPRC/UH, USA
12:05-12:30Climate variability prediction and its application studies with international collaborations, Dr. Masami Nonaka, JAMSTEC
International collaborative studies on climate prediction and application II
(Chair: Dr. Navarra)
14:00-14:25IIOE-2 and EIOURI: Examples of multilateral cooperation in the Indian Ocean, Prof. Yukio Masumoto, Univ. of Tokyo
14:25-14:50Development and applications of the Japan Coastal Ocean Predictability Experiment, Dr. Toru Miyama, JAMSTEC
A new initiative in international collaborations
(Chair: Prof. Yamagata)
15:05-15:10 Signing ceremony
15:10-15:35Understanding and predicting the seesaw between the Somali and Maritime Continent cross-equatorial flows, Prof. Jing-Jia Luo, NUIST, China
15:35-16:00 Influences of Tropical Indian and Pacific Oceans on the Interannual Variations of Pre- and Post-flood Precipitation in South China, Prof. Chaoxia Yuan, NUIST, China
16:00-16:25Improved seasonal prediction by the SINTEX-F system -past, present, and future, Dr.Takeshi Doi, JAMSTEC


JAMSTEC Applicaiton Laboratory