{"id":1043,"date":"2016-10-28T09:57:13","date_gmt":"2016-10-28T00:57:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/?p=1043"},"modified":"2016-10-28T09:57:13","modified_gmt":"2016-10-28T00:57:13","slug":"2016%e5%b9%b4%e5%a4%8f%e3%81%ae%e4%ba%88%e6%b8%ac%e3%81%ae%e7%ad%94%e3%81%88%e5%90%88%e3%82%8f%e3%81%9b","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/?p=1043","title":{"rendered":"2016\u5e74\u590f\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u306e\u201c\u7b54\u3048\u5408\u308f\u305b\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u3042\u3063\u3068\u3044\u3046\u9593\u306b\u79cb\u306b\u306a\u308a\u3001\u5c11\u3057\u305a\u3064\u3067\u3059\u304c\u6728\u3005\u3082\u8272\u3065\u3044\u3066\u304d\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u723d\u3084\u304b\u306a\u6c17\u5019\u306e\u3082\u3068\u3001\u30b9\u30dd\u30fc\u30c4\u3001\u8aad\u66f8\u3001\u79cb\u306e\u5473\u899a\u306a\u3069\u3092\u697d\u3057\u3093\u3067\u3044\u308b\u65b9\u3082\u591a\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u79cb\u5200\u9b5a\u3082\u7f8e\u5473\u3057\u3044\u5b63\u7bc0\u3067\u3059\u306d(\u5b63\u7bc0\u30a6\u30aa\u30c3\u30c1\u306e\u30bf\u30a4\u30c8\u30eb\u753b\u50cf\u3082\u79cbVer.\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u304a\u308a\u307e\u3059)\u3002\u98a8\u90aa\u304c\u6d41\u884c\u308a\u59cb\u3081\u308b\u6642\u671f\u3067\u3082\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u306e\u3067\u3001\u4f53\u8abf\u7ba1\u7406\u306b\u6c17\u3092\u3064\u3051\u3066\u79cb\u3092\u6e80\u55ab\u3057\u3066\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3055\u3066\u3001\u672c\u6295\u7a3f\u3067\u306f<strong>\u5b63\u7bc0\u30a6\u30aa\u30c3\u30c1\u306e\u201c\u7b54\u3048\u5408\u308f\u305b\u201d\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5f3e<\/strong>\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3001\u904e\u304e\u53bb\u3063\u305f2016\u5e74\u306e\u590f\u306b\u6ce8\u76ee\u3057\u307e\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u307e\u305a\u306f<strong>\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u4e88\u6e2c<\/strong>\u304b\u3089\u898b\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002\u4e0b\u56f3\u306f\u3001\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u73fe\u8c61\u3084\u30e9\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e3\u73fe\u8c61\u304c\u767a\u751f\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b\u3069\u3046\u304b\u3092\u5224\u65ad\u3059\u308b\u969b\u306b\u3088\u304f\u4f7f\u308f\u308c\u308b\u6307\u6a19Nino3.4\u306e\u73fe\u5728\u307e\u3067\u306e\u63a8\u79fb\u3067\u3059\u3002\u9752\u304c\u89b3\u6e2c\u3001\u3064\u307e\u308a\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u5024\u3067\u3059\u30022015\u5e74\u672b\u304b\u3089\u767a\u751f\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u73fe\u8c61\u306f\u3001\u5e74\u304c\u660e\u3051\u3066\u3001\u305d\u306e\u52e2\u529b\u306f\u6b21\u7b2c\u306b\u5f31\u307e\u308a\u3001\u4eca\u5e745\u6708\u306b\u306f\u7d42\u606f\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u305d\u308c\u304b\u3089\u3082\u6307\u6a19Nino3.4\u306f\u51b7\u3048\u7d9a\u3051\u30018-9\u6708\u306b\u304b\u3051\u3066\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u73fe\u8c61\u3068\u306f\u9006\u306e\u73fe\u8c61\u3067\u3042\u308b\u201d\u30e9\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e3\u73fe\u8c61\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u72b6\u614b\u201d\u304c\u5f31\u3044\u306a\u304c\u3089\u3082\u767a\u751f\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u30022016\u5e745\u67081\u65e5\u6642\u70b9\u3067\u306e\u30a2\u30d7\u30ea\u30b1\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u30e9\u30dc\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u306f\u8d64\u7dda\u3067\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u9752\u7dda\u3068\u8d64\u7dda\u306f\u9a5a\u304f\u7a0b\u3088\u304f\u4e00\u81f4\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u306d\u3002\u30a2\u30d7\u30ea\u30b1\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u30e9\u30dc\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u30b7\u30b9\u30c6\u30e0\u304c\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u4e88\u6e2c\u306b\u95a2\u3057\u3066\u4e16\u754c\u6700\u5148\u7aef\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306f\u65e2\u306b\u5b66\u8853\u7684\u306b\u3082\u8a8d\u3081\u3089\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059(\u4f8b\u3048\u3070\u3001<a href=\"http:\/\/link.springer.com\/article\/10.1007\/s00382-008-0397-3\">Jin et al. 2008, Climate Dynamics<\/a>)\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u6307\u6a19Nino3.4\uff1a\u71b1\u5e2f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u6771\u90e8\u3067\u9818\u57df\u5e73\u5747\u3057\u305f\u6d77\u9762\u6c34\u6e29\u304c\u3069\u306e\u304f\u3089\u3044\u5e73\u5e74\u5024\u304b\u3089\u305a\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b(\u504f\u5dee\u3068\u547c\u3073\u307e\u3059)\u3092\u793a\u3059\u6570\u5024\u3002\u5358\u4f4d\u306f\u00b0C\u3002<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-947 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/Fig1-300x279.png\" width=\"500\" height=\"465\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u4e0a\u8a18\u3067\u201d\u30e9\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e3\u73fe\u8c61\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u72b6\u614b\u201d \u3068\u66d6\u6627\u306a\u8868\u73fe\u3092\u3057\u305f\u306e\u306f\u8a33\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u6307\u6a19Nino3.4\u3060\u3051\u3092\u898b\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u6c17\u4ed8\u3051\u306a\u3044\u306e\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u30e2\u30c9\u30ad\u30fb\u30e9\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e3\u30e2\u30c9\u30ad\u73fe\u8c61\u306e\u6307\u6a19EMI\u3092\u898b\u3066\u307f\u308b\u3068\u3001<strong>9\u6708\u306e\u71b1\u5e2f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u306e\u72b6\u614b\u306f\u3080\u3057\u308d\u201c\u30e9\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e3\u30e2\u30c9\u30ad\u73fe\u8c61\u201d\u304c\u767a\u751f\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306a\u72b6\u614b<\/strong>\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u78ba\u8a8d\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002(<a href=\" http:\/\/www.jamstec.go.jp\/aplinfo\/climate\/?page_id=115\">\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u30e2\u30c9\u30ad\/\u30e9\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e3\u30e2\u30c9\u30ad\u73fe\u8c61\u3068\u306f\uff1f<\/a>)\u30022016\u5e745\u67081\u65e5\u6642\u70b9\u3067\u306e\u30a2\u30d7\u30ea\u30b1\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u30e9\u30dc\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306e\u7d50\u679c(\u8d64\u7dda)\u306f\u3001\u89b3\u6e2c(\u9752\u7dda)\u306e\u6982\u306d\u306e\u50be\u5411\u306f\u4e88\u6e2c\u3067\u304d\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3068\u8a00\u3048\u307e\u3059\u304c\u30019\u6708\u306e\u632f\u5e45\u3092\u304b\u306a\u308a\u904e\u5c11\u8a55\u4fa1\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u3053\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u30e2\u30c9\u30ad\u30fb\u30e9\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e3\u30e2\u30c9\u30ad\u73fe\u8c61\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u7cbe\u5ea6\u5411\u4e0a\u306b\u8cc7\u3059\u308b\u7814\u7a76\u306f\u3001<a href=\"http:\/\/www.jamstec.go.jp\/apl\/ertdf2-1405\/\">\u74b0\u5883\u7814\u7a76\u7dcf\u5408\u63a8\u9032\u8cbb(2-1405)\u300c\u6700\u8fd1\u983b\u767a\u3057\u59cb\u3081\u305f\u65b0\u3057\u3044\u81ea\u7136\u6c17\u5019\u5909\u52d5\u73fe\u8c61\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u3068\u305d\u306e\u793e\u4f1a\u5fdc\u7528\u300d{\u7814\u7a76\u4ee3\u8868\u8005\uff1a\u5c71\u5f62 \u4fca\u7537, \u56fd\u7acb\u7814\u7a76\u958b\u767a\u6cd5\u4eba\u6d77\u6d0b\u7814\u7a76\u958b\u767a\u6a5f\u69cb \u30a2\u30d7\u30ea\u30b1\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u30e9\u30dc}<\/a>\u3067\u5b9f\u65bd\u4e2d\u3067\u3059\u3002\u305d\u306e\u6210\u679c\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306f\u307e\u305f\u5225\u306e\u8a18\u4e8b\u3067\u307e\u3068\u3081\u308b\u4e88\u5b9a\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u6307\u6a19EMI\uff1a\u71b1\u5e2f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u4e2d\u592e\u90e8\u306e\u6d77\u9762\u6c34\u6e29\u504f\u5dee\u304c\u6771\u90e8\u3068\u897f\u90e8\u306e\u6d77\u9762\u6c34\u6e29\u504f\u5dee\u3068\u6bd4\u3079\u3066\u3069\u306e\u7a0b\u5ea6\u9ad8\u3044\u304b\u3092\u793a\u3059\u6570\u5024\u3002\u5358\u4f4d\u306f\u00b0C\u3002<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-948 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/Fig2-300x262.png\" alt=\"fig2-2016JJA-Doi\" width=\"500\" height=\"437\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u4eca\u5e74\u306e\u590f\u306f\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u73fe\u8c61\u304b\u3089\u30e9\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e3(\u3042\u308b\u3044\u306f\u30e9\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e3\u30e2\u30c9\u30ad)\u73fe\u8c61\u3078\u306e\u9077\u79fb\u306e\u6642\u671f\u3060\u3063\u305f\u305f\u3081\u3001\u305d\u308c\u3089\u306e\u632f\u5e45\u81ea\u4f53\u306f\u305d\u308c\u7a0b\u5927\u304d\u3044\u3082\u306e\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3067\u3057\u305f\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u3067<strong>\u30a4\u30f3\u30c9\u6d0b\u3067\u306f\u52e2\u529b\u306e\u5f37\u3044\u30c0\u30a4\u30dd\u30fc\u30eb\u30e2\u30fc\u30c9\u73fe\u8c61\u306e\u8ca0\u306e\u30a4\u30d9\u30f3\u30c8\u304c\u767a\u751f\u3057\u73fe\u5728\u3082\u7d99\u7d9a\u4e2d<\/strong>\u3067\u3059\uff08<a 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loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-949 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/Fig3-300x269.png\" alt=\"fig3-2016JJA-Doi\" width=\"500\" height=\"448\" 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loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-950 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/Fig4-300x120.png\" alt=\"fig4-2016JJA-Doi\" width=\"600\" height=\"240\" 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