{"id":777,"date":"2016-06-24T18:14:44","date_gmt":"2016-06-24T09:14:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/?p=777"},"modified":"2016-06-24T18:14:44","modified_gmt":"2016-06-24T09:14:44","slug":"2016%e5%b9%b4%e6%98%a5%e3%81%ae%e4%ba%88%e6%b8%ac%e3%81%ae%e7%ad%94%e3%81%88%e5%90%88%e3%82%8f%e3%81%9b","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/?p=777","title":{"rendered":"2016\u5e74\u6625\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u306e\u201c\u7b54\u3048\u5408\u308f\u305b\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u6885\u96e8\u7a7a\u304c\u7d9a\u304d\u84b8\u3057\u6691\u3044\u65e5\u3005\u304c\u7d9a\u3044\u3066\u304a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u5909\u308f\u3089\u305a\u304a\u904e\u3054\u3057\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u304b\u3002\u5317\u95a2\u6771\u3067\u306f\u7a7a\u6885\u96e8\u3067\u6c34\u4e0d\u8db3\u3067\u3042\u308b\u4e00\u65b9\u3001\u4e5d\u5dde\u5730\u65b9\u3067\u306f\u8c6a\u96e8\u88ab\u5bb3\u304c\u591a\u767a\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u6885\u96e8\u671f\u3082\u5f8c\u534a\u306b\u5165\u308a\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u76ee\u7acb\u3063\u305f\u88ab\u5bb3\u304c\u51fa\u306a\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3092\u7948\u3063\u3066\u304a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6885\u96e8\u304c\u660e\u3051\u308c\u3070\u3044\u3088\u3044\u3088\u590f\u3067\u3059\u306d\u3002\u590f\u4f11\u307f\u306e\u4e88\u5b9a\u3092\u7acb\u3066\u3066\u3044\u308b\u65b9\u3082\u591a\u3044\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002<a href=\"http:\/\/www.jamstec.go.jp\/aplinfo\/climate\/?p=709\">\u5148\u9031\u306e\u8a18\u4e8b<\/a>\u306e\u901a\u308a\u3001<a href=\"http:\/\/www.jamstec.go.jp\/aplinfo\/climate\/?page_id=380\">\u30e9\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e3\u73fe\u8c61<\/a>\u3068<a href=\"http:\/\/www.jamstec.go.jp\/aplinfo\/climate\/?page_id=112\">\u8ca0\u306e\u30a4\u30f3\u30c9\u6d0b\u30c0\u30a4\u30dd\u30fc\u30eb\u73fe\u8c61<\/a>\u306e\u767a\u751f\u306b\u8981\u6ce8\u610f\u3067\u3059\u3002\u3053\u306e\u7d44\u307f\u5408\u308f\u305b\u306f\u904e\u53bb\u6700\u60aa\u306e\u71b1\u4e2d\u75c7\u88ab\u5bb3\u304c\u51fa\u305f2010\u5e74\u3068\u985e\u4f3c\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u306e\u3067\u3001\u3053\u306e\u590f\u306e\u71b1\u4e2d\u75c7\u306b\u306f\u5341\u5206\u304a\u6c17\u3092\u3064\u3051\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3055\u3066\u3001\u672c\u8a18\u4e8b\u3067\u306f\u5c11\u3057\u904e\u53bb\u306b\u623b\u3063\u3066\u30012016\u5e74\u6625\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u306e\u201d\u7b54\u3048\u5408\u308f\u305b\u201d\u3092\u3057\u307e\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002\u3053\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306b\u3001\u904e\u53bb\u306e\u3042\u308b\u6642\u70b9\u3067\u5b9f\u65bd\u3057\u305f\u4e88\u6e2c\u5b9f\u9a13\u3092\u3001\u89b3\u6e2c\u304b\u3089\u5f97\u3089\u308c\u305f\u5b9f\u969b\u306e\u72b6\u6cc1\u3068\u6bd4\u8f03\u3057\u3001\u305d\u306e\u6210\u5426\u3092\u691c\u8a3c\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3001\u5b63\u7bc0\u4e88\u6e2c\u306e\u66f4\u306a\u308b\u7cbe\u5ea6\u5411\u4e0a\u306e\u305f\u3081\u306b\u5fc5\u8981\u4e0d\u53ef\u6b20\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u307e\u305a\u306f\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u4e88\u6e2c\u304b\u3089\u898b\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002\u4e0b\u56f3\u306f\u3001\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u73fe\u8c61\u3084\u30e9\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e3\u73fe\u8c61\u304c\u767a\u751f\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b\u3069\u3046\u304b\u3092\u5224\u65ad\u3059\u308b\u969b\u306b\u3088\u304f\u4f7f\u308f\u308c\u308b\u6307\u6a19Nino3.4(\u5358\u4f4d\u306f\u00b0C)\u306e2015\u5e74\u304b\u3089\u306e\u73fe\u5728\u307e\u3067\u306e\u63a8\u79fb\u3067\u3059\u3002\u6307\u6a19Nino3.4\u306f\u3001\u71b1\u5e2f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u6771\u90e8\u3067\u9818\u57df\u5e73\u5747\u3057\u305f\u6d77\u9762\u6c34\u6e29\u304c\u3069\u306e\u304f\u3089\u3044\u5e73\u5e74\u5024\u304b\u3089\u305a\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b(\u504f\u5dee\u3068\u547c\u3073\u307e\u3059)\u3092\u793a\u3059\u6570\u5024\u3067\u3059\u3002\u9752\u304c\u89b3\u6e2c\u3001\u3064\u307e\u308a\u73fe\u5b9f\u306e\u5024\u3067\u3059\u30022015\u5e74\u306e\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u73fe\u8c61\u306f\u3001\u6625\u904e\u304e\u304b\u3089\u30b0\u30f3\u30b0\u30f3\u6210\u9577\u3057\u3001\u6628\u5e74\u672b\u306b\u306f1997\u5e74\u306b\u767a\u751f\u3057\u305f\u89b3\u6e2c\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u5f37\u306e\u73fe\u8c61\u3068\u540c\u3058\u7a0b\u5ea6\u306b\u307e\u3067 \u767a\u9054\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u5e74\u304c\u660e\u3051\u3066\u3001\u305d\u306e\u52e2\u529b\u306f\u6b21\u7b2c\u306b\u5f31\u307e\u308a\u3001\u4eca\u5e745\u6708\u306b\u306f\u7d42\u606f\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u30022016\u5e741\u67081\u65e5\u6642\u70b9\u3067\u306e\u30a2\u30d7\u30ea\u30b1\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u30e9\u30dc\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u306f\u8d64\u7dda\u3067\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u9752\u7dda\u3068\u8d64\u7dda\u304c\u4f3c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u4e00\u76ee\u77ad\u7136\u3067\u3059\u306d\u3002\u904e\u53bb\u6700\u5927\u7d1a\u306e\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u73fe\u8c61\u304c\u6669\u6625\u306b\u306f\u7d42\u606f\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u3001\u898b\u4e8b\u4e88\u6e2c\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3057\u305f\u30022016\u5e74\u5f8c\u534a\u306b\u306f\u30e9\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e3\u73fe\u8c61\u306e\u767a\u751f\u3092\u4e88\u6e2c\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u304c(\u6628\u5e74\u306e11\u6708\u306e\u6642\u70b9\u3067\u3001\u65e2\u306b\u6307\u6458\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002\u53c2\u8003: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.jamstec.go.jp\/j\/jamstec_news\/20151104\/\">\u30b5\u30a4\u30c8<\/a>)\u3001\u3053\u306e\u307e\u307e\u884c\u304f\u3068\u305d\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u3082\u30ba\u30d0\u30ea\u5f53\u305f\u308a\u305d\u3046\u3067\u3059\u306d (\u30a2\u30d7\u30ea\u30b1\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u30e9\u30dc\u306e\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u4e88\u6e2c\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u304c\u4e8c\u5e74\u5148\u307e\u3067\u6709\u80fd\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306f\u5b66\u8853\u7684\u306b\u8a8d\u3081\u3089\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u53c2\u8003: <a href=\"http:\/\/journals.ametsoc.org\/doi\/full\/10.1175\/2007JCLI1412.1\">Luo et al 2008<\/a>)\u3002<\/p>\n<p>(\u8ffd\u8a18: \u30a2\u30d7\u30ea\u30b1\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u30e9\u30dc\u306e\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u3067\u306f\u8907\u96d1\u306a\u81ea\u7136\u73fe\u8c61\u306e\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\u3092\u8003\u616e\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u3001\u521d\u671f\u5024\u3084\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u8a2d\u5b9a\u3092\u50c5\u304b\u306b\u5909\u3048\u305f\u4e88\u6e2c\u5b9f\u9a13\u30929\u56de\u5b9f\u65bd\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059(\u30a2\u30f3\u30b5\u30f3\u30d6\u30eb\u4e88\u6e2c\u3068\u547c\u3073\u307e\u3059)\u3002\u7070\u8272\u306f\u305d\u306e\u30a2\u30f3\u30b5\u30f3\u30d6\u30eb\u306e\u5404\u4e88\u6e2c\u5024\u3067\u3001\u8d64\u7dda\u306f\u305d\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u5024\u3067\u3059\u3002\u30a2\u30f3\u30b5\u30f3\u30d6\u30eb\u5e73\u5747\u5024\u306e\u65b9\u304c\u3001\u305d\u308c\u305e\u308c\u306e\u30a2\u30f3\u30b5\u30f3\u30d6\u30eb\u5024\u3088\u308a\u4e88\u6e2c\u7cbe\u5ea6\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u3053\u3068\u304c\u308f\u304b\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059)<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-782\" src=\"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/2016Nino34-650x530.jpg\" alt=\"2016Nino34\" width=\"650\" height=\"530\" srcset=\"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/2016Nino34.jpg 650w, http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/2016Nino34-300x245.jpg 300w, http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/2016Nino34-184x150.jpg 184w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 650px) 100vw, 650px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u6b21\u306b\u30012016\u5e74\u6625(3-5\u6708\u5e73\u5747)\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u5730\u4e0a\u6c17\u6e29\u306e\u5e73\u5e74\u5024\u304b\u3089\u306e\u5dee\u3092\u898b\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002\u4e0b\u56f3\u5de6\u306f\u89b3\u6e2c\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf(\u6b63\u78ba\u306b\u306f\u7c73\u56fdNCEP\/NCAR\u304b\u3089\u914d\u4fe1\u3055\u308c\u308b\u518d\u89e3\u6790\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf)\u3067\u3001\u6696(\u5bd2)\u8272\u304c\u5e73\u5e74\u3088\u308a\u6c17\u6e29\u304c\u9ad8(\u4f4e)\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u53f3\u56f3\u304c2016\u5e742\u67081\u65e5\u304b\u3089\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u5024\u3067\u3059(\u3064\u307e\u308a2\/1\u6642\u70b9\u304b\u30892~4\u30f6\u6708\u5148\u306e\u5c06\u6765\u4e88\u6e2c)\u3002\u4e16\u754c\u306e\u307b\u3068\u3093\u3069\u306e\u5730\u57df\u3067\u4e88\u6e2c\u306b\u6210\u529f\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u4f8b\u3048\u3070\u3001\u30a2\u30d5\u30ea\u30ab\u5317\u90e8\u3001\u4e2d\u6771\u3001\u30ed\u30b7\u30a2\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u3001\u30a4\u30f3\u30c9\u5317\u90e8\u3001\u6771\u5357\u30a2\u30b8\u30a2\u3001\u5317\u7c73\u5927\u9678\u897f\u90e8\u3001\u30d6\u30e9\u30b8\u30eb\u3001\u5357\u7c73\u5927\u9678\u5317\u90e8\u3001\u8c6a\u5dde\u3001\u305d\u3057\u3066\u65e5\u672c\u304c\u5e73\u5e74\u3088\u308a\u9ad8\u6e29\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u4e88\u6e2c\u3067\u304d\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u6b27\u5dde\u897f\u90e8\u3084\u5357\u7c73\u5927\u9678\u5357\u90e8\u304c\u5e73\u5e74\u3088\u308a\u4f4e\u6e29\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3082\u4e88\u6e2c\u3067\u304d\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u306d\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u6b8b\u5ff5\u306a\u304c\u3089\u30ca\u30df\u30d3\u30a2\u3092\u4e2d\u5fc3\u3068\u3057\u305f\u30a2\u30d5\u30ea\u30ab\u5357\u897f\u90e8\u3001\u5317\u6b27\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u5317\u6771\u90e8\u3001\u30a4\u30f3\u30c9\u5357\u90e8\u3001\u30ab\u30ca\u30c0\u897f\u90e8\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u6771\u90e8\u306a\u3069\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u306f\u5916\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-783\" src=\"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/2016MAM-MAP-650x275.jpg\" alt=\"2016MAM-MAP\" width=\"650\" height=\"275\" srcset=\"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/2016MAM-MAP.jpg 650w, http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/2016MAM-MAP-300x127.jpg 300w, http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/2016MAM-MAP-355x150.jpg 355w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 650px) 100vw, 650px\" 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