{"id":885,"date":"2016-08-19T16:00:27","date_gmt":"2016-08-19T07:00:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/?p=885"},"modified":"2016-08-19T16:28:15","modified_gmt":"2016-08-19T07:28:15","slug":"2016%e5%b9%b48%e6%9c%88%e5%8f%b7%ef%bc%9a%e4%bb%8a%e5%b9%b4%e3%81%ae%e7%a7%8b%e3%81%af%ef%bc%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/?p=885","title":{"rendered":"2016\u5e748\u6708\u53f7\uff1a\u4eca\u5e74\u306e\u79cb\u306f\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<figure id=\"attachment_888\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-888\" style=\"width: 290px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-888 size-medium\" src=\"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/fig_0_201608-300x225.jpg\" alt=\"fig_0_201608\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" srcset=\"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/fig_0_201608-300x225.jpg 300w, http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/fig_0_201608.jpg 650w, http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/fig_0_201608-200x150.jpg 200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-888\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u5199\u771f\uff1a\u6a2a\u6d5c\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u304b\u3089\u898b\u305f\u3001\u623f\u7dcf\u534a\u5cf6\u306e\u7a4d\u4e71\u96f2<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u5199\u771f\u306f\u6a2a\u6d5c\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u304b\u3089\u898b\u305f\u3001\u623f\u7dcf\u534a\u5cf6\u306e\u7a4d\u4e71\u96f2\u3067\u3059\u3002\u590f\u306e\u6674\u308c\u305f\u65e5\u306b\u3088\u304f\u767a\u751f\u3057\u3001\u96f2\u9802\u304c\u9ad8\u5ea6\uff11\uff10km\u307e\u3067\u9054\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\uff18\u6708\u306b\u5165\u308a\u6a2a\u6d5c\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u3067\u3082\u6691\u3044\u65e5\u304c\u7d9a\u304d\u307e\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u3053\u308c\u304b\u3089\u79cb\u306e\u5b63\u7bc0\u3001\u4e16\u754c\u306e\u6c17\u6e29\u3084\u964d\u6c34\u91cf\u304c\u6c17\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u306d\u3002<strong><a href=\"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/?page_id=298\">SINTEX-F\u306e\u5b63\u7bc0\u4e88\u6e2c<\/a>\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3068\u30019-11\u6708\u306f\u4e16\u754c\u306e\u591a\u304f\u306e\u5730\u57df\u3067\u6c17\u6e29\u304c\u5e73\u5e74\u3088\u308a\u9ad8\u304f\u306a\u308a\u305d\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002\u307e\u305f\u3001\u71b1\u5e2f\u306e\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u3067\u306f\u5f31\u3044<a href=\"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/?page_id=380&amp;preview=true\">\u30e9\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e3\u73fe\u8c61<\/a>\u307e\u305f\u306f<a href=\"http:\/\/www.jamstec.go.jp\/aplinfo\/climate\/?page_id=115\">\u30e9\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e3\u3082\u3069\u304d\u73fe\u8c61<\/a>\u304c\u3001\u30a4\u30f3\u30c9\u6d0b\u3067\u306f<a href=\"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/?page_id=112\">\u8ca0\u306e\u30a4\u30f3\u30c9\u6d0b\u30c0\u30a4\u30dd\u30fc\u30eb\u73fe\u8c61<\/a>\u304c\u6301\u7d9a\u3057\u3001\u3053\u308c\u3089\u306e\u73fe\u8c61\u304c\u5730\u57df\u306e\u964d\u6c34\u306b\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u305d\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n<h3>\u4eca\u5e74\u306e9-11\u6708\u306e\u6c17\u6e29\u3068\u964d\u6c34\u91cf\u306f\uff1f<\/h3>\n<figure id=\"attachment_889\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-889\" style=\"width: 640px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-889 size-large\" src=\"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/fig_1_201608-650x404.png\" alt=\"fig_1_201608\" width=\"650\" height=\"404\" srcset=\"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/fig_1_201608-650x404.png 650w, http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/fig_1_201608-300x186.png 300w, http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/fig_1_201608-242x150.png 242w, http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/fig_1_201608.png 1535w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 650px) 100vw, 650px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-889\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u56f31\u30002016\u5e749\u6708\u304b\u308911\u6708\u307e\u3067\u306e\u5730\u4e0a\u6c17\u6e29\u306e\u5e73\u5e74\u5dee\uff08\u00baC\uff09\u3002 \u4e88\u6e2c\u958b\u59cb\u65e5\u306f8\u67081\u65e5\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u4eca\u5e74\u306e9-11\u6708\u306b\u4e88\u6e2c\u3055\u308c\u308b\u4e16\u754c\u306e\u6c17\u6e29\u3067\u3059\u3002SINTEX-F\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3068\u3001\u4e16\u754c\u306e\u591a\u304f\u306e\u5730\u57df\u30679-11\u6708\u306e\u6c17\u6e29\u306f\u5e73\u5e74\u3088\u308a\u9ad8\u304f\u306a\u308a\u305d\u3046\u3067\u3059\uff08\u56f31\uff09\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u3067\u3001\u30d6\u30e9\u30b8\u30eb\u5317\u90e8\u3067\u306f\u3001\u6c17\u6e29\u306f\u5e73\u5e74\u3088\u308a\u4f4e\u304f\u306a\u308a\u305d\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_890\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-890\" style=\"width: 640px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-890 size-large\" src=\"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/fig_2_201608-650x401.png\" alt=\"fig_2_201608\" width=\"650\" height=\"401\" srcset=\"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/fig_2_201608-650x401.png 650w, http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/fig_2_201608-300x185.png 300w, http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/fig_2_201608-243x150.png 243w, http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/fig_2_201608.png 1546w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 650px) 100vw, 650px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-890\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u56f32\u30002016\u5e749\u6708\u304b\u308911\u6708\u307e\u3067\u306e\u964d\u6c34\u91cf\u306e\u5e73\u5e74\u5dee\uff08mm\/\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u4e88\u6e2c\u958b\u59cb\u65e5\u306f8\u67081\u65e5\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u6b21\u306b\u3001\u4eca\u5e74\u306e9-11\u6708\u306b\u4e88\u6e2c\u3055\u308c\u308b\u4e16\u754c\u306e\u964d\u6c34\u91cf\u3067\u3059\u3002SINTEX-F\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3068\u3001\u30a2\u30e1\u30ea\u30ab\u3084\u97d3\u56fd\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u6771\u90e8\u3001\u30a4\u30f3\u30c9\u30b7\u30ca\u534a\u5cf6\u3001\u6771\u30a2\u30d5\u30ea\u30ab\u3001\u30aa\u30fc\u30b9\u30c8\u30e9\u30ea\u30a2\u5357\u897f\u90e8\u3067\u306f\u96e8\u304c\u5e73\u5e74\u3088\u308a\u5c11\u306a\u3044\u898b\u8fbc\u307f\u3067\u3059\uff08\u56f32\uff09\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u3067\u3001\u30a4\u30f3\u30c9\u30cd\u30b7\u30a2\u3084\u30aa\u30fc\u30b9\u30c8\u30e9\u30ea\u30a2\u5317\u6771\u90e8\u3001\u5357\u7c73\u306e\u5317\u897f\u90e8\u3067\u306f\u3001\u96e8\u304c\u5e73\u5e74\u3088\u308a\u591a\u304f\u306a\u308a\u305d\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u307e\u305f\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u306e9-11\u6708\u306f\u3001\u6c17\u6e29\u304c\u5e73\u5e74\u3088\u308a\u9ad8\u3044\u4e88\u6e2c\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u7279\u306b\u30019-10\u6708\u306f\u4e5d\u5dde\u5730\u65b9\u306e\u4e00\u90e8\u3092\u9664\u3044\u3066\u96e8\u304c\u5e73\u5e74\u3088\u308a\u591a\u3044\u898b\u8fbc\u307f\u3067\u3059\u3002\u305f\u3060\u3057\u3001\u4e2d\u9ad8\u7def\u5ea6\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u7cbe\u5ea6\u306b\u306f\u9650\u754c\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u306e\u3067\u3001\u4eca\u5f8c\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u60c5\u5831\u306b\u6ce8\u610f\u3057\u3066\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_922\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-922\" style=\"width: 640px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-922 size-large\" src=\"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/fig_3_201608-1-650x402.png\" alt=\"fig_3_201608\" width=\"650\" height=\"402\" srcset=\"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/fig_3_201608-1-650x402.png 650w, http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/fig_3_201608-1-300x185.png 300w, http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/fig_3_201608-1-243x150.png 243w, http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/fig_3_201608-1.png 1541w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 650px) 100vw, 650px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-922\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u56f33\u30002016\u5e749\u6708\u304b\u308911\u6708\u307e\u3067\u306e\u6d77\u9762\u6c34\u6e29\u306e\u5e73\u5e74\u5dee\uff08\u00baC\uff09\u3002 \u4e88\u6e2c\u958b\u59cb\u65e5\u306f8\u67081\u65e5\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>\u65e5\u3005\u306e\u5929\u6c17\u3068\u7570\u306a\u308a\u3001\u5b63\u7bc0\u3092\u6c7a\u3081\u308b\u6c17\u5019\u306e\u5909\u52d5\u306b\u306f\u6d77\u9762\u6c34\u6e29\u304c\u5927\u304d\u304f\u95a2\u308f\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\uff08<a href=\"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/?page_id=527\">\u53c2\u7167\uff1a\u5b63\u7bc0\u4e88\u6e2c\u3068\u306f\uff1f<\/a>\uff09\u3002\u7279\u306b\u3001\u71b1\u5e2f\u57df\u306f\u4ed6\u306e\u6d77\u57df\u306b\u6bd4\u3079\u3066\u6d77\u9762\u6c34\u6e29\u304c\u9ad8\u304f\u3001\u308f\u305a\u304b\u306a\u6c34\u6e29\u306e\u5909\u52d5\u304c\u4e16\u754c\u306e\u6c17\u5019\u306b\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u3082\u305f\u3089\u3059\u3053\u3068\u304c\u77e5\u3089\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>SINTEX-F\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3068\u30019-11\u6708\u306e\u71b1\u5e2f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u306f\u5f31\u3044<a href=\"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/?page_id=380&amp;preview=true\">\u30e9\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e3\u73fe\u8c61<\/a>\u307e\u305f\u306f<a href=\"http:\/\/www.jamstec.go.jp\/aplinfo\/climate\/?page_id=115\">\u30e9\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e3\u3082\u3069\u304d\u73fe\u8c61<\/a>\u306e\u72b6\u614b\u304c\u7d9a\u304f\u898b\u8fbc\u307f\u3067\u3059\uff08\u56f33\uff09\u30027\u6708\u306e\u6c34\u6df1200m\u304f\u3089\u3044\u307e\u3067\u306e\u6c34\u6e29\u3092\u898b\u3066\u307f\u308b\u3068\u3001\u8d64\u9053\u5168\u4f53\u3067\u6c34\u6e29\u304c\u5e73\u5e74\u3088\u308a\u4f4e\u304f\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u304c\uff08<a href=\"http:\/\/www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov\/products\/analysis_monitoring\/enso_update\/wkxzteq.shtml\">\u53c2\u7167\uff1aNCEP\/CPC<\/a>\uff09\u3001SINTEX-F\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3067\u306f\u5f37\u3044\u30e9\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e3\u73fe\u8c61\u307e\u305f\u306f\u30e9\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e3\u3082\u3069\u304d\u73fe\u8c61\u306e\u767a\u751f\u3092\u3001\u73fe\u6642\u70b9\u3067\u306f\u4e88\u6e2c\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306f\u30017\u670831\u65e5\u307e\u3067\u306b\u89b3\u6e2c\u3055\u308c\u305f\u6d77\u9762\u6c34\u6e29\u3092\u7528\u3044\u3066\u4e88\u6e2c\u3092\u884c\u3046\u624b\u6cd5\uff08<a href=\"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/?page_id=527\">\u53c2\u7167\uff1a\u5b63\u7bc0\u4e88\u6e2c\u3068\u306f\uff1f<\/a>\uff09\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u751f\u3058\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b\u3082\u3057\u308c\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u306a\u304c\u3089\u3001SINTEX-F\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u3068\u540c\u69d8\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u7d50\u679c\u304c\u4ed6\u306e\u6c17\u5019\u4e88\u6e2c\u30b7\u30b9\u30c6\u30e0\u3067\u3082\u78ba\u8a8d\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u306e\u3067\uff08<a href=\"http:\/\/iri.columbia.edu\/our-expertise\/climate\/forecasts\/enso\/current\/\">\u53c2\u7167\uff1aIRI ENSO Forecast<\/a>\uff09\u3001\u4eca\u5f8c\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u60c5\u5831\u306b\u6ce8\u610f\u3057\u3066\u304f\u3060\u3055\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e00\u65b9\u3001\u30a4\u30f3\u30c9\u6d0b\u3067\u3059\u304c\u30017\u6708\u306e\u6d77\u9762\u6c34\u6e29\u3092\u898b\u308b\u3068\u3001\u6771\u90e8\u3067\u6c34\u6e29\u304c\u5e73\u5e74\u3088\u308a\u3082\u9ad8\u304f\u3001\u897f\u90e8\u3067\u4f4e\u304f\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059(<a href=\"http:\/\/www.esrl.noaa.gov\/psd\/map\/clim\/sst.shtml\">\u53c2\u7167\uff1aNOAA\/PSD<\/a>)\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306f\u3001\u300c<a href=\"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/?page_id=112\">\u8ca0\u306e\u30a4\u30f3\u30c9\u6d0b\u30c0\u30a4\u30dd\u30fc\u30eb\u73fe\u8c61<\/a>\u300d\u3068\u3057\u3066\u77e5\u3089\u308c\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3067\u30019-11\u6708\u306b\u304b\u3051\u3066\u8ca0\u306e\u30a4\u30f3\u30c9\u6d0b\u30c0\u30a4\u30dd\u30fc\u30eb\u73fe\u8c61\u304c\u6301\u7d9a\u3059\u308b\u898b\u8fbc\u307f\u3067\u3059\u3002\u305d\u306e\u305f\u3081\u3001\u6771\u30a2\u30d5\u30ea\u30ab\u3067\u306f\u96e8\u304c\u5e73\u5e74\u3088\u308a\u5c11\u306a\u304f\u3001\u30b9\u30de\u30c8\u30e9\u30fb\u30b8\u30e3\u30ef\u5cf6\u3067\u306f\u96e8\u304c\u5e73\u5e74\u3088\u308a\u591a\u304f\u306a\u308a\u305d\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002\u307e\u305f\u3001\u30aa\u30fc\u30b9\u30c8\u30e9\u30ea\u30a2\u897f\u5cb8\u3092\u307f\u308b\u3068\u30019-11\u6708\u306e\u6d77\u9762\u6c34\u6e29\u306f\u5e73\u5e74\u3088\u308a\u3082\u4f4e\u304f\u306a\u308b\u898b\u8fbc\u307f\u3067\u3059\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306f\u3001<a href=\"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/?page_id=911\">\u6cbf\u5cb8\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u30fb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e3\u73fe\u8c61<\/a>\u306e\u4e00\u3064\u3067\u3042\u308b\u300c<a href=\"http:\/\/www.jamstec.go.jp\/apl\/j\/column\/20150213\/\">\u30cb\u30f3\u30ac\u30eb\u30fc\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e3\u73fe\u8c61<\/a>\u300d\u3068\u3057\u3066\u77e5\u3089\u308c\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3001\u30aa\u30fc\u30b9\u30c8\u30e9\u30ea\u30a2\u5357\u897f\u90e8\u3067\u306f\u96e8\u304c\u5e73\u5e74\u3088\u308a\u5c11\u306a\u304f\u306a\u308a\u305d\u3046\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_902\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-902\" style=\"width: 497px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-902 size-large\" src=\"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/fig_4_201608-507x1024.png\" alt=\"fig_4_201608\" width=\"507\" height=\"1024\" srcset=\"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/fig_4_201608-507x1024.png 507w, http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/fig_4_201608-149x300.png 149w, http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/fig_4_201608-74x150.png 74w, http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/climate\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/fig_4_201608.png 1381w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 507px) 100vw, 507px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-902\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u56f34\u30002016\u5e748\u6708\u4ee5\u964d\u306b\u4e88\u6e2c\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3001\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e73.4\u6307\u6570\u3068\u30a8\u30eb\u30cb\u30fc\u30cb\u30e7\u3082\u3069\u304d\u6307\u6570\u3001\u30a4\u30f3\u30c9\u6d0b\u30c0\u30a4\u30dd\u30fc\u30eb\u6307\u6570\uff08\u00baC\uff09\u3002 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