{"id":2976,"date":"2016-07-08T14:59:11","date_gmt":"2016-07-08T05:59:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/kowatch\/?p=2976"},"modified":"2017-02-28T09:52:46","modified_gmt":"2017-02-28T00:52:46","slug":"%e8%b1%aa%e9%9b%a8%e3%81%ae%e9%8d%b5%e3%82%92%e3%81%ab%e3%81%8e%e3%82%8b%e6%9d%b1%e3%82%b7%e3%83%8a%e6%b5%b7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/aplpubweb.jamstec.go.jp\/kowatch\/?p=2976","title":{"rendered":"\u8c6a\u96e8\u306e\u9375\u3092\u306b\u304e\u308b\u6771\u30b7\u30ca\u6d77"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\u307e\u305a\u30017\u6708\u306e\u6d77\u6c34\u9762\u6e29\u5ea6\u306e\u7279\u5fb4\u30926\u6708\u3068\u6bd4\u8f03\u3057\u306a\u304c\u3089\u898b\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002\u56f31\u306f\u3001\u5e73\u5e74(1993-2012\u5e74\u5e73\u5747)\u306e6\u6708\u30687\u6708\u306e\u6d77\u6c34\u9762\u6e29\u5ea6\u3092\u6bd4\u8f03\u3057\u305f\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3059\u30026\u6708(\u56f3\u5de6\uff09\u306e\u6c34\u6e29\u306e\u7279\u5fb4\u306f\u3001\u9ed2\u6f6e\u306e\u6d41\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u3053\u308d\u3067\u6e29\u5ea6\u304c\u9ad8\u304f\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u304c\u306f\u3063\u304d\u308a\u308f\u304b\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3059\u3002\u3053\u306e\u9ed2\u6f6e\u306e\u9ad8\u3044\u6c34\u6e29\u304c\u6885\u96e8\u306e\u96e8\u306b\u4e0e\u3048\u308b\u5f71\u97ff\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306f2015\/6\/19\u53f7\u300c\u9ed2\u6f6e\u30686\u6708\u306e\u6885\u96e8\u306e\u95a2\u4fc2\u306f\uff1f<\/a>\u300d\u3067\u89e3\u8aac\u3057\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n

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6\u6708\u306f\u6771\u30b7\u30ca\u6d77\u304c\u307e\u3060\u51b7\u305f\u3044\u305f\u3081\u306b\u3001\u6885\u96e8\u524d\u7dda\u306e\u4f4d\u7f6e\u304c\u540c\u3058\u3060\u3063\u305f\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3082(\u203b3<\/a>)\u3001\u6885\u96e8\u524d\u7dda\u306b\u5357\u304b\u3089\u5439\u304d\u8fbc\u3080\u98a8\u306b\u71b1\u3068\u6c34\u84b8\u6c17\u3092\u5341\u5206\u306b\u4f9b\u7d66\u3067\u304d\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u3001\uff17\u6708\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3068\u6771\u30b7\u30ca\u6d77\u306e\u6c34\u6e29\u304c\u4e0a\u6607\u3059\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3001\u5357\u304b\u3089\u5439\u304d\u8fbc\u3080\u98a8\u306b\u3001\u305f\u3063\u3077\u308a\u3068\u71b1\u3068\u6c34\u84b8\u6c17\u3092\u4f9b\u7d66\u3067\u304d\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u308c\u304c\uff17\u6708\u306b\u96c6\u4e2d\u8c6a\u96e8\u304c\u767a\u751f\u3057\u3084\u3059\u3044\u7406\u7531\u3068\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

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\"Fig1\"
\u56f31:<\/strong> JCOPE2<\/a>\u3067\u4f5c\u6210\u3055\u308c\u305f\u5e73\u5e74(1993-2012\u5e74\u5e73\u5747)\u306e\u6d77\u9762\u6c34\u6e29(\u00b0C)\u3002(\u5de6\uff096\u6708\u5e73\u5747\u3002(\u53f3) 7\u6708\u5e73\u5747\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6700\u5f8c\u306b\u3001\u4eca\u5e74\u306e\u72b6\u6cc1\u3092\u898b\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002\u56f3\uff12\u306e\u5de6\u306f\u3001\u4eca\u5e74\u306e\uff16\u670819\u65e5\u306e\u6d77\u9762\u6c34\u6e29\u304c\u5e73\u5e74\u3088\u308a\u9ad8\u3044\u304b\uff08\u8d64\u3063\u307d\u3044\u8272\uff09\u3001\u4f4e\u3044\u304b\uff08\u9752\u3063\u307d\u3044\u8272\uff09\u3001\u3092JCOPE2\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf<\/a>\u3092\u7528\u3044\u3066\u898b\u305f\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002\u4eca\u5e74\u306f\u6771\u30b7\u30ca\u6d77\u3067\u5168\u4f53\u7684\u306b\u6e29\u5ea6\u304c\u5e73\u5e74\u3088\u308a\u3082\u9ad8\u304f\u3001\u4e5d\u5dde\u306e\u307e\u308f\u308a\u3067\u306f\u5e73\u5e74\u3088\u308a\uff11\u5ea6\u4ee5\u4e0a\u6e29\u5ea6\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u6240\u304c\u898b\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3053\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u72b6\u6cc1\u304c\u3001\u4eca\u5e74\u306f\uff16\u6708\u306b\u4e5d\u5dde\u3067\u767a\u751f\u3057\u305f\u8c6a\u96e8(\u203b4<\/a>)\u306b\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u305f\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u4eca\u5f8c\u306e\u7814\u7a76\u304c\u5f85\u305f\u308c\u307e\u3059(\u203b5<\/a>)\u3002\uff17\u6708\u306b\u5165\u3063\u3066\u3082\u3001\uff16\u6708\u307b\u3069\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044(\u6ce8\u203b6<\/a>\u30922015\/7\/13\u306b\u8ffd\u8a18)\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u5e73\u5e74\u3088\u308a\u6e29\u5ea6\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u6240\u304c\u898b\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\uff08\u56f3\uff12\u53f3\uff09\u3002\u9ad8\u3044\u6c34\u6e29\u306f\u53f0\u98a8\u306e\u767a\u9054\u306b\u3082\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3001\u4eca\u5f8c\u3082\u6ce8\u610f\u304c\u5fc5\u8981\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

\"160708_rain2\"
\u56f32:<\/strong> JCOPE2<\/a>\u63a8\u5b9a\u306b\u3088\u308b\u5e73\u5e74(1993-2012\u5e74\u5e73\u5747)\u304b\u3089\u306e\u6d77\u9762\u6c34\u6e29\u5dee(\u00b0C)\u3002(\u5de6)2016\u5e746\u670819\u65e5(\u53f3\uff092016\u5e747\u67083\u65e5\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\"surfkurooya2\"<\/p>\n

\n

<\/a>\u203b1<\/strong> \u53c2\u8003\u8cc7\u6599:\u300c\u5e73\u621024\u5e747\u6708\u4e5d\u5dde\u5317\u90e8\u8c6a\u96e8 \u5e73\u621024\u5e74(2012\u5e74)7\u670811\u65e5\uff5e7\u670814\u65e5<\/a>\u300d(\u6c17\u8c61\u5e81)<\/p>\n

<\/a>\u203b2<\/strong> \u3053\u306e\u7814\u7a76\u306e\u8ad6\u6587\u306f\u30d7\u30ec\u30b9\u30ea\u30ea\u30fc\u30b9\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u300c\u6771\u30b7\u30ca\u6d77\u306e\u6c34\u6e29\u4e0a\u6607\u304c\u6885\u96e8\u671f\u306b\u4e5d\u5dde\u3067\u8d77\u3053\u308b\u96c6\u4e2d\u8c6a\u96e8\u306e\u767a\u751f\u306b\u5f71\u97ff \u2015 2012 \u5e74\u300c\u4e5d\u5dde\u5317\u90e8\u8c6a\u96e8\u300d\u306e\u4e8b\u4f8b\u3068\u4eca\u5f8c\u306e\u6c34\u6e29\u4e0a\u6607\u306b\u4f34\u3046\u5c06\u6765\u306e\u898b\u901a\u3057 \u2015<\/a>\u300d(pdf)\u3000\u56f3\u306epdf<\/a>\u306f\u3053\u3061\u3089\u3002
\n\u3082\u3068\u306b\u306a\u3063\u305f\u8ad6\u6587\u306f\u3001Manda, A., H. Nakamura, N. Asano, S. Iizuka, T. Miyama, Q. Moteki, M. K. Yoshioka, K. Nishii, and T. Miyasaka, 2014: Impacts of a warming marginal sea on torrential rainfall organized under the Asian summer monsoon<\/a>. Scientific reports, 4, 6. doi:10.1038\/srep05741 (\u82f1\u8a9e)
\n\u7b46\u8005\uff08\u7f8e\u5c71\uff09\u3082\u5171\u8457\u8005\u3068\u3057\u3066\u53c2\u52a0\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002
\n\u3053\u306e\u8ad6\u6587\u306b\u306fJCOPE2<\/a>\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u304c\u4f7f\u7528\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002
\n\u3053\u306e\u7814\u7a76\u3068\u305d\u306e\u80cc\u666f\u306b\u95a2\u3057\u3066\u306f\u30012016\/6\/3\u53f7<\/a>\u3067\u7d39\u4ecb\u3057\u305f\u66f8\u7c4d\u300c\u5929\u6c17\u3068\u6d77\u306e\u95a2\u4fc2\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u308f\u304b\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3053\u3068\u300d\u306e\u7b2c2\u7ae0\u3067\u3001\u4e07\u7530\u51c6\u6559\u6388\u304c\u89e3\u8aac\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002
\n\u8ad6\u6587\u3067\u306f\u3001\u904e\u53bb\u306e\u6c17\u8c61\u8a18\u9332\u3092\u7528\u3044\u3066\u3001\u4e5d\u5dde\u897f\u90e8\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u5e73\u5e74\u96e8\u91cf\u306f\u6885\u96e8\u6700\u76db\u671f\u306e 6 \u6708\u4e0b\u65ec\u306b\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u3092\u8fce\u3048\u308b\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u65e5\u96e8\u91cf\u304c 250mm \u8d85\u3048\u308b\u96c6\u4e2d\u8c6a\u96e8\u306e\u767a\u751f\u983b\u5ea6\u306f 7 \u6708\u4e2d\u30fb\u4e0b\u65ec\u304c\u5727\u5012\u7684\u306b\u9ad8\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3082\u78ba\u304b\u3081\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/a>\u203b3<\/strong> \u4eca\u56de\u306f\u3001\u6885\u96e8\u524d\u7dda\u304c\u540c\u3058\u3067\u3042\u308b\u6642\u306e\u6d77\u9762\u6c34\u6e29\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u306b\u95a2\u3057\u3066\u66f8\u304d\u307e\u3057\u304c\u3001\u6d77\u9762\u6c34\u6e29\u304c\u6885\u96e8\u524d\u7dda\u306b\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u7814\u7a76\u3082\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002
\nMoteki, Q., and A. Manda, 2013: Seasonal migration of the Baiu frontal zone over the East China Sea:sea surface temperature effect<\/a>, SOLA, 9, 19-22, doi:10.2151\/sola.2013-005 (\u82f1\u8a9e)
\n\u3053\u306e\u8ad6\u6587\u306b\u306fJCOPE2\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u304c\u4f7f\u7528\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002
\n\u3053\u306e\u7814\u7a76\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u3082\u3001\u203b2\u3067\u8ff0\u3079\u305f\u66f8\u7c4d\u300c\u5929\u6c17\u3068\u6d77\u306e\u95a2\u4fc2\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u308f\u304b\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3053\u3068\u300d\u306e\u7b2c2\u7ae0\u306b\u89e3\u8aac\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/a>\u203b4<\/strong> \u53c2\u8003\u8cc7\u6599: \u300c\u6885\u96e8\u524d\u7dda\u306b\u3088\u308b\u5927\u96e8 \u5e73\u621028(2016)\u5e746\u670819\u65e5\uff5e6\u670830\u65e5\uff08\u901f\u5831\uff09<\/a>\u300d(\u6c17\u8c61\u5e81)<\/p>\n

<\/a>\u203b5<\/strong> \u95a2\u9023\u3057\u3066\u3001\u300c\u65e5\u672c\u5468\u8fba\u306e\u6d77\u9762\u6c34\u6e29\u5834\u304c\u5c40\u6240\u7684\u306a\u8c6a\u96e8\u30fb\u8c6a\u96ea\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u306b\u4e0e\u3048\u308b\u5f71\u97ff\u306e\u5b9a\u91cf\u7684\u8a55\u4fa1<\/a>\u300d\uff08\u4ee3\u8868\uff1a\u4e2d\u6751\u5c1a \u6771\u5927\u6559\u6388\uff09\u3068\u3044\u3046\u7814\u7a76\u30d7\u30ed\u30b8\u30a7\u30af\u30c8\u304c\u4eca\u5e74\u5ea6\u304b\u3089\u59cb\u307e\u3063\u3066\u307e\u3059\u3002\u7b46\u8005\uff08\u7f8e\u5c71\uff09\u3082\u9023\u643a\u7814\u7a76\u54e1\u3068\u3057\u3066\u53c2\u52a0\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/a>\u203b6<\/strong>\u00a0\u3082\u3068\u3082\u30687\u6708\u306f6\u6708\u3088\u308a\u6c34\u6e29\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u306e\u3067\u30016\u6708\u3088\u308a\u6c34\u6e29\u304c\u4f4e\u3044\u3068\u3044\u3046\u610f\u5473\u3067\u306f\u3042\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002\u307e\u305f\u30017\u67083\u65e5\u4ee5\u964d\u3001\u6c34\u6e29\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u304c\u5927\u304d\u304f\u306a\u308a\u3001\u5e73\u5e74\u3088\u308a\u9ad8\u3044\u72b6\u6cc1\u306f\u62e1\u5927\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059(\u56f33)\u3002<\/p>\n

\"Fig3\"
\u56f33:<\/strong>\u00a02016\u5e747\u670810\u65e5\u306eJCOPE2<\/a>\u63a8\u5b9a\u306b\u3088\u308b\u5e73\u5e74(1993-2012\u5e74\u5e73\u5747)\u304b\u3089\u306e\u6d77\u9762\u6c34\u6e29\u5dee(\u00b0C)\u30022016\/7\/16\u8ffd\u8a18<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

 <\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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