Symposium on Predictability of Climate Variations in the Indo-Pacific Sector
Karuizawa Room, New Building, Shinagawa Prince Hotel, Shinagawa, Tokyo, Japan
March 8-9, 2007
Thursday March 8
8:30-9:00 Registration
Opening session (Chairperson: Yamagata)
9:00-9:15 Opening Address
H. Kinoshita (JAMSTEC)

A. Yoshikawa (MEXT)

9:15-9:40 Keynote Speech
C. K. Park (APCC)
Overview of the APEC Climate Center for Information Services

Session I: Coupled Variability in the Indian and Pacific Oceans
(Chairpersons: Navarra and Kang)

9:40-10:00 P. Chang (Texas A & M Univ.)
Internal Atmospheric Variability, Pacific Meridional Mode and

10:00-10:20 K. Ashok (FRCGC/JAMSTEC)
El Nino Modoki

10:20-10:40 S. K. Behera (FRCGC/JAMSTEC)
The Role of IOD in the Indo-Pacific Climate Variability(pdf)

10:40-11:00 T. Li (IPRC/UH)
Asymmetry between the Positive and Negative Phases of the
Indian Ocean Dipole

11:00-11:20 Tea Break
11:20-11:40 H. Annamalai (IPRC/UH)
Role of tropical Indian Ocean on ENSO in Coupled Models with
Relevance to Observed Conditions in 2006

11:40-12:00 S. Rao (FRCGC/JAMSTEC)
High Frequency Variations in Evolution of Indian Ocean Dipole
Events in 2003 and 2006(pdf)

12:00-12:20 C. de Boyer Montegut (FRCGC/JAMSTEC)
First analyses of a new version of the SINTEX-F coupled model(pdf)

12:20-12:40 T. Tozuka (U. Tokyo)
Seasonally Stratified Analysis of Simulated ENSO

12:40 . 12:50 Photo session
12:50 . 14:20 Lunch Break

Session II: Asian Monsoon(Chairperson: Godfrey)

14:20-14:40 H.-H. Hsu (National Taiwan Univ.)
Asymmetry of the Tripole Rainfall Pattern during East Asian

14:40-15:00 Q. Liu (Ocean Univ. of China)
Impact of the Indian Ocean SST Basin Mode on the Asian
Summer Monsoon

15:00-15:20 S. Zhang (Ocean Univ. of China)
Global perspectives of the summer monsoon rainy seasons(pdf)

15:20-15:40 C.-Y. Tam (APCC)
Intraseasonal Oscillations in a multi-cumulus convective
ensemble experiment

15:40-16:00 T. Izumo (FRCGC/JAMSTEC)
The influence of Somalia and Oman upwellings on the West
Indian monsoon

16:00-16:20 Z. Guan (Nanjing Univ. of Information Science & Technology)
The Circum-Australian Circulation in the Near Surface Wind and
the Changing Decadal IOV-ENSO Relations

16:20-16:40 Tea Break

Session III: Midlatitude Air-Sea Interaction (Chairperson: Chang)

16:40-17:00 M. Alexander (NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory)
Tropical-Extratropical Interactions, Air-Sea Feedback and the
PDO (pdf)

17:00-17:20 H. Nakamura (U. Tokyo, FRCGC/JAMSTEC)
Modal characteristics of summertime teleconnection
associated with anomalous convective activity
over the tropical/subtropical northwestern Pacific(pdf)

17:20-17:40 M. Nonaka (FRCGC/JAMSTEC)
Decadal variability in the Kuroshio and Oyashio Extension
frontal regions in an eddy-resolving OGCM(pdf)

17:40-18:00 G.-X. Wu (Institute of Atmospheric Physics)
Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction over the AIPO area and
its climate impacts- a program introduction

18:30-20:30 Reception Nikko Room

Session IV: Data-model Synthesis (Chairpersons: Hendon and Li)

9:00-9:20 J. S. Godfrey (CSIRO)
On the sensitivity of net heat flux into the tropical Indian Ocean
to storminess, in the OFES ocean model(pdf)

9:20-9:40 W. Yu (First Institute of Oceanography)
Argo detecting the intraseasonal mixed layer variations in the
tropical Indian Ocean(pdf)

9:40-10:00 G. A. Vecchi (NOAA GFDL)
Predictability Impacts of Indian Ocean Subsurface Conditions (pdf)

10:00-10:20 Y. Masumoto (U. Tokyo, IORGC/JAMSTEC)
Tropical Indian Ocean Observing System
- Present Status and Highlights of 2006 IOD -(pdf)

10:20-10:40 Tea Break
10:40-11:00 A. Schiller (CSIRO)
On the Impact of Observations on Numerical Ocean Prediction
Models in the Indo-Pacific Region(pdf)

11:00-11:20 M. Kamachi (MRI)
Ocean State Estimation for Climate Analysis and Prediction in
the Pacific(pdf)

11:20-11:40 T. Awaji (Kyoto Univ., FRCGC/JAMSTEC); to be presented by N.
Four-dimensional variational coupled data assimilation

11:40 – 13:30 Lunch Break

Session V: Predictability Experiments (Chairpersons: Hsu and Delecluse)

13:30-13:50 P. Delecluse (METEO-FRANCE)
Progress in Seasonal predictability in France(pdf)

13:50-14:10 E. K. Jin (COLA)
Current Status of ENSO Prediction Skill in Coupled Ocean-
Atmosphere Models

14:10-14:30 H. Hendon (BMRC)
Dynamical Seasonal Prediction of Indo-Pacific Climate at the
Bureau of Meteorology, Australia(pdf)

14:30-14:50 Y.-M. Min (APCC)
Current Approaches to Seasonal Climate Prediction at the APEC
Climate Center (APCC)

14:50-15:10 J.-J. Luo (FRCGC/JAMSTEC)
Seasonal-to-interannual climate predictability in a fully coupled
ocean-atmosphere model(pdf)

15:10-15:30 Tea Break
15:30-15:50 M. Kimoto (CCSR/U. Tokyo)
A seasonal-to-interannual hindcast experiment by a coupled
ocean-atmosphere GCM, MIROC

15:50-16:10 J.-Y. Lee (IPRC/UH)
How are seasonal prediction skills related to model’s systematic
errors in annual cycle?

16:10-16:30 A. Navarra (INGV)
Does Atmospheric Horizontal Resolution affect Tropical Climate

16:30-16:50 I.-S. Kang (SNU)
High Resolution Climate Modeling

Session VI: Teleconnections (Chairperson: Vecchi)

16:50-17:10 N. H. Saji (APCC)
Severe Environmental Conditions in the Indian Ocean region
during boreal summer and fall of 2006: Relations with climate
variability in the Indian and Pacific Oceans

17:10-17:30 Ajaya Mohan

17:30-17:50 H. Weng (FRCGC/JAMSTEC)
Impacts of Recent El Niño Modoki on Extreme Climate
Conditions in East Asia and the United States during Boreal

17:50-18:00 Closing Remarks
T. Yamagata (U. Tokyo, FRCGC/JAMSTEC)
18:00 Adjourn