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October 10, 2023:Ensenble Sensitivity Analysis targeting south of Muroto September 10, 2023:Introducing the strong relaxation toward the mgdsst climatology in climatrocgy forcng runs from Bulletin-20230829 August 15, 2023:Adding the ensemble NCEP-CFSv2 forcing (20-member) experiments August 4, 2023:Wind stress x 1.2 July 17, 2023:No reralxation to MGDSST monthly climatology July 06, 2023:Ensemble perturbations x (1.5 -> 2) July 03, 2023:Wind stress x 1.1 and Ensemble perturbations x (1 -> 1.5) June 26, 2023:Tentatively Opened |
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Kuroshio path prediction driven by the seasonal prediction and climatology forcings from the NCEP CFSv2 product. Ensemble mean SST anomaly compared to SST climatological daily mean from JCOPE2M 1993-2022 data Ensemble mean SST difference between the forecast runs driven by the NCEP-CFSv2 and its climatology forcings Ensemble mean SST anomaly driven by the ensemble NCEP-CFSv2 forcings compared to SST climatological daily mean from JCOPE2M 1993-2022 data Ensemble mean SST difference between the forecast runs driven by the ensemble NCEP-CFSv2 and its climatology forcings 20231008 20230930 20230922 20230914 20230906 20230829 20230821 20230813 20230805 half extraction of ocean current for evaluation of the relative wind stress 20230805 20230728 20230720 - Wind stress x 1.2 20230720 20230712 20230704 20230626 - No relaxation of surface heat flux to monthly MGDSST climatology (Prediction forcing alone) 20230626 - Weaker relaxation of surface heat flux to monthly MGDSST climatology (Prediction forcing alone) 20230626 20230618 - Ensemble perturbations x (1.5 -> 2) (Prediction forcining alone) 20230618 - Wind stress x 1.1 & Ensemble perturbations x (1.0 -> 1.5) 20230618 20230606 CFSv2 original SST daily anomaly forecast MGDSST daily anomaly for valiation Ensemble Sensitivity Analysis targeting south of Muroto E-mail: jcope@jamstec.go.jp | |