| （ i ） Understanding mechanisms of climate variability and change |
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| （a）Studies on prediction and predictability of climate variability from interannual to decadal time scales |
| ＜Publication＞ |
- Chikamoto, Y., M. Kimoto, M. Watanabe, M. Ishii, and T. Mochizuki, 2012
- Relationship between the
Pacific and Atlantic stepwise climate change during the 1990s. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L21710,
doi:10.1029/2012GL053901.
- Chikamoto, Y., M. Kimoto, M. Ishii, T. Mochizuki, T. T. Sakamoto, H. Tatebe, Y. Komuro, M.
Watanabe,
T. Nozawa, H. Shiogama, M. Mori, S. Yasunaka, Y. Imada, 2013
- An overview of decadal climate Predictability in a multi-model ensemble by climate model MIROC. Clim. Dyn., 40, 1201-1222,doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1351-y.
- Mori, M., M. Kimoto, M. Ishii, S. Yokoi, T. Mochizuki, Y. Chikamoto, M. Watanabe, T. Nozawa, H.
Tatebe,
T. T. Sakamoto, Y. Komuro, Y. Imada and H. Koyama, 2013
- Hindcast prediction and near future projection of tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific using CMIP5 near-term experiments with MIROC. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, in press.
- Okazaki, A., P. J. F. Yeh, K. Yoshimura, M. Watanabe, M. Kimoto, and T. Oki, 2012
- Estimatetion of flood risk change under global warming using MIROC5 simultations and discharge probability index. J.Meteor. Soc. Japan, 90, 509-524.
- Smith, D. M., A. A. Scaife, G. J. Boer, M. Caian, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, V. Guemas, E. Hawkins, W.
Hazeleger,
L. Hermanson, C.-K. Ho, M. Ishii, V. Kharin, M. Kimoto, B. Kirtman, J. Lean, D. Matei, W.
J. Merryfield, W. A. Muumller, H. Pohlmann, A. Rosati, B. Wouters, and K. Wyser, 2012
- Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions. Clim. Dyn., 10.1007/s00382-012-1600-0.
- Watanabe, M., J.-S. Kug, F.-F. Jin, M. Collins, M. Ohba, and A. T. Wittenberg, 2012
- Uncertainty in the
ENSO amplitude change from the past to future. Geophts. Res. Lett., 39, doi:10.1029/2012GL053305.
- Williams, K. D., A. Bodas-Salcedo, M. Deque, S. Fermepin, B. Medeiros, M. Watanabe, C. Jacob,
S. A. Klein, C. A. Senior, and D. L. Williamson, 2013
- The Transpose AMIP II experiment and its application to the understanding of Sourthern Ocean cloud biases in climate models. J. Climate, in press.
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| ＜Presentation（including poster）＞ |
- Imada, Y., M. Kimoto, M. Ishii, M. Watanabe, S. Kanae, and members of team SPAM
- Recent progress in the MIROC5 seasonal prediction system and predictability of two flavors of El Nino, Third CLIVAR Workshop on the Evaluation of ENSO Processes in Climate Models, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia,
January 21-January 23, 2013.
- Mochizuki, T., 2012
- Toward quantifying and reducing uncertainty in climate prediction, 15th Information-Based Induction Science Workshop, Tokyo, Japan. November 7-9, 2012.
- Mochizuki, T., 2012
- Toward enhancing decadal predictability in the North Pacific, PICES2012 WG27 meeting, Hiroshima, Japan. October 12-21, 2012.
- Watanabe, M., and K. Yamazaki, 2013
- Effects of extratropical warming on ENSO amplitudes in a GCM historical ensemble. Third CLIVAR WS "New Strategies for Evaluating ENSO Processes in Climate Models", Hobart, 21-23 January, 2013.
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| （b）①Towards reducing uncertainty in model-based estimation of climate sensitivity |
| ＜Publication＞ |
- Kamae, Y., and M. Watanabe 2012a
- Tropospheric adjustment to increasing CO2: its timescale and the role of land-sea contrast, Clim Dyn, published online: 12 Oct. 2012, doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1555-1.
- Kamae, Y., and M. Watanabe 2012b
- On the robustness of tropospheric adjustment in CMIP5 models, Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L23808, doi:10.1029/2012GL054275.
- Kawai H. 2012
- Examples of mechanisms for negative cloud feedbacks of stratocumulus and stratus in cloud parameterizations. SOLA, vol.8, 150-154, doi:10.2151/sola.2012-037
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| ＜Presentation（including poster）＞ |
- Kamae Y., and M. Watanabe, 2012
- Tropospheric adjustment to increasing CO2: its timescale and the role of land-sea contrast. American Geophysical Union Fall meeting, 3-7 Dec., San Francisco, USA.
- Yoshimori, M., M. Watanabe, A. Abe-Ouchi, H. Shiogama and T. Ogura
- Contributing processes to Arctic temperature amplification for a range of forcing in MIROC GCM, The third international symposium on the Arctic research (ISAR-3) (Tokyo, 17 January) .
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| （b）②Reduction of uncertainty in climate models relevant to climate sensitivity |
| ＜Publication＞ |
- Kodama, C., A. T. Noda, and M. Satoh, 2012
- An Assessment of the Cloud Signals Simulated by NICAM using ISCCP, CALIPSO, and CloudSat Satellite Simulators. J. Geophys. Res., 117,D12210, doi:10.1029/2011JD017317.
- Noda, A. T., K. Oouchi, M. Satoh, and H. Tomita, 2012
- Quantitative assessment of diurnal variation of tropical convection simulated by a global nonhydrostatic model without cumulus parameterization. J. Climate, 25, 5119-5134.
- Satoh, M., S. Iga, H. Tomita, Y. Tsushima, and A. T. Noda, 2012
- Response of upper clouds due to global warming tested by a global atmospheric model with explicit cloud processes. J. Climate, 25, 2178-2191. DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00152.1.
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| ＜Presentation（including poster）＞ |
- Noda, A. T., K. Nakamura, T. Iwasaki, and M. Satoh, 2012
- Cloud-top entrainment instability in largeeddy simulations. 2nd international workshop on nonhydrostatic modeling, Miyagi, 28-30 Nov 2012.
- Oouchi, K., 2012
- Recent research highlight on tropical cyclone with a global non-hydrostatic model, 1st
U.S. CLIVAR Hurricane Working Group Workshop, New Orleans, LA, 27-28 January 2012. (invited)
- Satoh, M., 2012
- NICAM: Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral Atmospheric Model. 1st International Conference on Frontiers in Computational Physics: Modeling the Earth System; Boulder, CO, USA 16 - 20 December 2012. (invited)
- Satoh, M., A. T. Noda, C. Kodama, Y. Yamada, and T. Hashino, 2012
- Cloud evaluation using satellite simulators and cloud changes for global nonhydrostatic simulations with NICAM. AGU 2012, San Francisco, USA, 3-7, Dec. 2012. (invited)
- Satoh, M., 2012
- Evaluation of the global nonhydrosatic model (NICAM) simulation using satellite observation and a future outlook of the use of GPM The 4th TRMM and GPM International Science Conference November 13-16, 2012, Akihabara UDX GALLERY NEXT, Tokyo, Japan (invited).
- Satoh, M., 2012
- The global cloud-resolving simulation by the Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral Atmospheric Model, NICAM. Conference on Computational Physics (CCP2012), AICS, Kobe, 15 Oct. 2012. (invited)
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| （ ii ） Development of an integrated prediction system for global climate studies |
| |
| （a）Development of a seamless prediction system for seasonal-to-decadal time scales |
| ＜Publication＞ |
- Seo, K.-W., D. E. Waliser, B. Tian, B.-M. Kim, S.-C. Park, S. Cocke, B.-J. Sohn, and M. Ishii, 2012
- Global trends of fresh water discharge and evapotranspiration revealed by space-based observations. APJAS, 48（2）, 153ー158, DOI:10.1007/s13143-012-0015-5.
- Smith, D.M., A. A. Scaife, G. J. Boer, M. Caian, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, V. Guemas, E. Hawkins, W. Hazeleger,
L. Hermanson, C.-K. Ho, M. Ishii, V. Kharin, M. Kimoto, B. Kirtman, J. Lean, D. Matei, W. J. Merryfield,
W. A. Müller, H. Pohlmann, A. Rosati, B. Wouters, and K. Wyser, 2012
- Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions. Clim. Dyn., 10.1007/s00382-012-1600-0
|
| ＜Presentation（including poster）＞ |
- Ishii, M. 2013
- Detection and prediction of climate changes. ICSS-Asia 2013, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australia, Feb. 4-8, 2013.
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| （b）Development of data assimilation technology
for optimizing initial and boundary conditions |
| ＜Publication＞ |
- Bouttes, N., JM. Gregory, T. Kuhlbordot and T. Suzuki, 2012
- The effect of windstress change on future sea level change in the Southern Ocean, Geophysical Research Letter, Vol. 39, L23602 doi:
10.1029/2012GL054207.
- Gleckler, P. J., B. D. Santer, C. M. Domingues, D. W. Pierce, T. P. Barnett, J. A. Church, K.E. Taylor,
K. M. AchutaRao, T. Boyer, M. Ishii and P. M. Caldwell, 2012
- Human-induced ocean warming identified with improved observations in a multi-model analysis, Nature Climate Change. 2, 524–529, doi:10.1038/nclimate1553.
- Hamada, J.-I., S. Mori, H. Kubota, M. D. Yamanaka, U. Haryoko, S. Restari, R. Sulistyowati,
and F.Syamsudin, 2012
- Interannual Rainfall Variability over Northwestern Jawa and Its Relation to the Indian
Ocean Dipole and El Nino-Southern Oscillation Events, SOLA, 8, 69-72.
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| ＜Presentation（including poster）＞ |
- Suzuki, T., M. Ishiil, 2012
- Multi-decadal sea level fluctuations in the North Pacific based on the historical ocean hydrographic data. AGU.
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FY2012
