Theme D:Precise impact assessments on climate change

FY2013 FY2012
FY2012
( i ) Climate change impacts on natural hazards
  
  (a)Risk assessment of meteorological disasters under climate change
<Publication>
Ishikawa, H., Y. Oku, S. Kim, T. Takemi, and J. Yoshino, 2013
Estimation of a possible maximum flood event in the Tone River basin, Japan caused by a tropical cyclone. Hydrological Processes. (in press).
<Presentation(including poster)>
Nishijima, K., 2013
Adaptation efficiency in climate change for typhoon induced wind risk of residential buildings in Japan. European Climate Change Adaptation Conference 2013, Hamburg, Germany, 18-20 March 2013.
Takemi, T., 2013
Sensitivity of orographically induced precipitation to the track and intensity of typhoons for the assessment of meteorological hazards in complex terrain. International Conference on MCSs and High-Impact Weather in East Asia (ICMCS-9), Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China, 27-30 March 2013.
Y. Kuzuha, S. Tachinami and C. Gomi
Application of the fractional Levy motion to precipitation data, 23B-1564, AGU Fall meeting 2012, Moscone Center, San Francisco, CA, USA, 3-7 December 2012.
  
  (b)Risk assessment of water-related disasters under climate change
<Publication>
Duc Toan DUONG, Yasuto TACHIKAWA, Michiharu SHIIBA, Kazuaki YOROZU
River discharge projection in Indochina Peninsula under a changing climate using the MRI-AGCM3.2s dataset, Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B1 (Hydraulic Engineering), Vol. 69, No. 4, pp. I_37-I_42, 2013.
Kwak, Y., K. Takeuchi, J. Fukami, J. Magome, 2012
A New Approach to Flood Risk Assessmentin Asia-Pacific Region Based on MRI-AGCM Outputs.Hydrological Research Letters6,55-60.
Sato Y., T. Kojiri, Y. Michihiro, Y. Suzuki and E. Nakakita, 2013
Assessment of climate change impacts on river discharge in Japan using the super-high-resolution MRI-AGCM. Hydrological Processes (HYP13-4 In press)
Sato Y., T. Kojiri, Y. Michihiro, Y. Suzuki, and E. Nakakita, 2012
Estimates of climate change impact on river discharge in Japan based on a super-high-resolution model. Terrestrial Atmospheric and Ocean Science 23(5): 527-540.
Sato Y. and T. Kojiri, 2012
River water management for climate change in the Kiso river system in Japan. Proceedings of the 18th congress of the IAHR-APD2012, 946-947.
Shrestha, B.T. Okazumi, S. Tanaka,A.Sugiura, Y.Kwak and S. Hibino, 2013
Developmentof Flood Vulnerability Indicesfor Lower Mekong Basinin Cambodian Floodplain. Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser.B1 (Hydraulic Engineering), Vol. 69 (4), I-1-6.
<Presentation(including poster)>
Kwak, Y., J. Park, K. Fukami, 2013
Estimating a floodwater from MODIS time series and SRTM DEM data. The Eighteenth International Symposium on Artificial Life and Robotics 2013, 210-213.
Kwak, Y., J. Park, A. Yorozuya, K. Fukami, 2012
Estimation of floodvolume in Chao Phraya river basin, Thailand from MODIS imagescoupled with flood Inundation level. IEEE-IGARSS2012, 887-890.
Matsuura, S., Matsushi, Y. and Abe, K. (2013)
Research on snow melting properties in a mountainousarea during extreme weather events, Proc. of the Int. Symp. on "Cycle and Span of Sustainability", Institute of Sustainability Science, pp.58-59.
Sunmin Kim and Eiichi Nakakita,
"Estimating the Systematic Bias in the Present and Future Precipitation Output of AGCM60km", International Conference on Climate, Water and Policy (ICCWP) 2012 Busan, Republic of Korea, 11-13 Sep 2012.
  
  (c)Risk assessment of coastal disasters under climate change
<Book>
Mori, N. (2012)
Projection of Future Tropical Cyclone Characteristics based on Statistical Model, In Cyclones Formation, Triggers and Control, Eds. K.Oouchi and H.Fudeyasu, Chapter 12, Nova Science Publishers, pp.249-270.
<Publication>
Hemer, M.A., Y. Fan, N. Mori, A. Semedo and X.L.Wang (2013)
Projected changes in wave climate from a multi-model ensemble, Nature Climate Change, 6p., doi:10.1038/nclimate1791.
Mase, H., D. Tsujio, T. Yasuda and N. Mori (2013)
Stability analysis of composite breakwater with wave-dissipating blocks considering increase in sea levels, surges and waves due to climate change, Ocean Engineering, Printing.
Mori, N., T. Shimura, T. Yasuda and H. Mase (2013)
Multi-Model Multi-Scenario Ensemble Projection of Future Upper Ocean Environment Change under Global Warming, Ocean Engineering, Printing.
Nakano, T., J. Nasuda, Y. Agata, T. Yurimoto, Y. Maeno, Y. Nakamura, F. Yamada, and A. Tamaki (2012)
Life history and population dynamics of the surf clam, Mactra veneriformis (Bivalvia: Mactridae), on an estuarine intertidal sandflat in western Kyushu, Japan, Molluscan Research, Vol. 32 (3), pp.159-176.
Yamada, F., N. Kobayashi, Y. Shirakawa, Y. Watabe, S. Sassa, and A. Tamaki (2012)
Effects of Tide and River Discharge on Mud Transport on Intertidal Flat, Journal of Waterway, Port, Coastal and Ocean Engineering, Vol. 138(2), pp. 172-180.
Yamada, F., R. Tateyama, G. Tsujimoto, S. Suenaga, B. Long, and C. Pilote (2013)
Dynamic monitoring of physical models beach morphodynamics and sediment transport using X-ray CT scanning technique, Journal of Coastal research, SI, Vol. 65,Printing.
<Conference Proceedings>
Kitano, T., W. Kioka and R. Takahashi (2012)
Outlier sensitivity on the sea extremes by the temporal and climate index covariations, Coastal Engineering Proceedings, 1(33), management.3. doi:10.9753/icce.v33. management.3.
Hayashi, K., N. Mori, Mase, H., Y. Kuriyama, and K. Kobayashi (2012)
Influence of climate change on beach profile, Coastal Engineering Proceedings, 1(33), sediment.17. doi:10.9753/icce.v33.sediment.17
Mori, N., T. Shimura, S. Nakajo, T. Yasuda and H. Mase (2012)
Multi-model ensemble projection of future coastal climate change, Coastal Engineering Proceedings, 1(33), management.25. doi:10.9753/icce.v33. management.25
Nakajo, S., N. Mori, T. Yasuda and H. Mase (2012)
Basic examination of future change of tropical cyclone and storm surge properties under climate change, Coastal Engineering Proceedings, 1(33), management.23.doi:10.9753/icce.v33.management.23
Shimura, T., N. Mori, T. Yasuda and H. Mase (2012)
Wave dynamics and its impact to wave climate projection, Coastal Engineering Proceedings, 1(33), management.24. doi:10.9753/icce.v33.management.24
Qiuhua, L., F. Yamada, G. Tsujimoto and J. Zheng (2013)
Combined physical and numerical modeling study of surge impact on structures, Proceedings of 23th International Offshore and Polar Engineering Conference, Printing
<Presentation(including poster)>
Nobuoka, H., and C. M., Van and T. V. P., Dang (2013)
Probabilistic coastal flood hazard due to storm surges with sea-level rise in Mekong-Delta , MES2013, Ho Chin Minh City.
Yasuda, T. (2012)
Projection of climate change impact on storm surge and its uncertainty, Advances in Coastal Disasters Risk Management - Lessons from the March 2011 Tsunami and preparedness to the climate change impact, NWO-JSPS Joint Seminar(2012年6月8日,JAL シティ仙台)
Yasuda, T. (2013)
Projection of Future Coastal Climate Change—Typhoons, Waves and Storm Surges, The 1st Bristol-Kyoto Symposium(2013年1月11日,英国ブリストル大学)
  
  (d)Measuring socio-economic impacts of climate change and effectiveness of adaptation strategies
<Publication>
Kajitani, Y., Chang, S. and H. Tatano, 2013
Economic Impacts of the Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami, Earthquake Spectra , accepted.
  
  (e)Development of risk assessment and adaptation strategies for water-related disaster in Asia
<Publication>
Shresta et al. Development of flood vulnerability indices for lower Mekong basin in Cambodian floodplain
Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B1 (Hydraulic Engineering), Vol.69, No.4, I_1-I_6,2013
  
( ii ) Climate change impacts on water resources
  
  (a)Assessment of socio-economic impacts on water resources and their uncertainties under changing climate
<Publication>
Kotera, A., T. Nagano、P. Hanittinan, S. Koontanakulvong (2012)
Assessing Flood Damages of Rice in the Chao Phraya Delta, Using MODIS Satellite Imageries, PAWEES 2012 -International Conference on "Challenges of Water & Environmental Management in Monsoon Asia."
Nohara, D., T. Hori (2012)
Impact Analysis of Reliability and Discriminability Index of Stochastic Inflow Prediction and Its Application to Long-term Reservoir Operation, Proc. of 10th International Conference on Hydroinformatics. (8pp).
Ock, G., Y. Takemon, T. Sumi (2012)
Particulate organic matter retention as an ecological indicator for riverbed management. 18th Congress of the Asia and Pacific Division of the International Association for Hydro-Environment Engineering and Research (IAHR-APD 2012).
Ock, G., Y. Takemon , T. Sumi , G M. Kondolf (2012)
Ecological significance of riverine gravel bars in regulated river reaches below dams. AGU2012.
Sato Y, M. Honma, Y. Suzuki, K. Tanaka, and E. Nakakita (2013)
Assessment of climate change impact on river discharge in cold and mountainous region in Japan, Proc. of H02, IAHS-IAPSO-IASPEI Assembly (In Printing).
Sato Y, Y. Michihiro, Y. Suzuki (2012)
Application of an integrated hydrological model for river ecosystem assessment under future climate change. Proc. of the 9th International symposium on Ecohydraulics.
Sato Y, M. Honma, Y. Suzuki, Y. Michihiro (2013)
Suspended sediment transport in the Kiso River basin. Proc. of the 12th International symposium on river sedimentation (Posting).
Takemon, Y. (2012)
River Basin Ecosystem Management under Reservoir Dam Impacts. The second JE-Hydronet Symposium on the Nile River System and the Delta of Egypt. pp.27-35.
<Presentation(including poster)>
Kamal ,E. A., T. Hamaguchi, T. Sumi, K. Tanaka (2012)
Two-dimensional Basin-scaled Groundwater Modeling of the Nile Delta, Egypt、水文・水資源学会2012 年度研究発表会要旨集、pp.16-17。
Kotera, A., T. Nagano, (2012)
Assessing Flood Damages of Rice in the Chao Phraya Delta, Using MODIS Satellite Imageries, PAWEES 2012 International Conference on "Challenges of Water & Environmental Management in Monsoon Asia."
Nagano, T. (2012)
Assessing impacts of climate extremes on agriculture by use of time-series satellite imagery, Seminar on the guideline on adaptation measures for irrigation systems.
Nagano, T., A. Kotera, A. Fujita (2012)
Development of World Atlas of Irrigated Agriculture for Sustainability Science, PAWEES 2012 International Conference on "Challenges of Water & Environmental Management in Monsoon Asia."
  
  (b)Assessment of climate change impacts on the social-ecological systems of water resources and hydrological cycles
<Presentation(including poster)>
Hiroki Minakawa and Takao Masumoto(2012)
A quantitative evaluation method of flood risks in low-lying areas associated with increase of heavy rainfall in Japan、2012 American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting.
Kudo, R., Masumoto, T., Horikawa, N., Yoshida, T. (2012)
Modeling of basin-wide water management for dry-season paddy irrigation with large reservoirs in the Mekong River Basin、AGU Fall Meeting 2012, 8 December 2012, San Francisco.
Masumoto Takao (2012)
Model of Climate Change Impact Assessment on Irrigation Facilities in the Mekong, Seminar on "Guideline on Climate Change Adaptation Measures for Irrigation Systems", 26-27 Nov. 2012, Bangkok
Watanabe, S., S. Kanae, S. SETO, P. J. .-F. Yeh, Y. Hirabayashi, and T. Oki (2012)
Intercomparison Of Bias-Correction Methods For Monthly Temperature And Precipitation Simulated By Multiple Climate Models, AGU fall meeting 2012, USA.
Yoshida, T., Masumoto T., Horikawa N. and Minakawa N. (2012)
Modeling of short-term runoff processes in heterogeneous watersheds dominated by abandoned paddies in hilly areas, AGU Fall Meeting 2012, 7 December 2012, San Francisco.
  
( iii ) Climate change impacts on ecosystem and biodiversity
  
  (a)Assessment of climatic impacts on ecosystem and biodiversity
<Publication>
Ohte N, Nakaoka M, Shibata H (2012) ILTER and JaLTER
Their Missions and Linkage to Database Development in the Asia-Pacific Region. In "The Biodiversity Observation Network in the Asia-Pacific Region; Toward Further Development of Monitoring (Nakano S, Yahara T, Nakashizuka T Eds)", Ecological Research Monographs, Springer Japan, pp 205-215, Tokyo
Shibata H, Hasagawa Y, Watanabe T, Fukuzawa K
Impact of snowpack decrease on net nitrogen mineralization and nitrification of forest soil in northern Japan. Biogeochemistry (submitted).
Takano, K. T. (2012)
Genetic Resources. In Geall S, Liu J, and Pellissery S (eds.), The Berkshire Encyclopedia of Sustainability, Vol. 7: China, India, and East and Southeast Asia: Assessing Sustainability. Berkshire, Great Barrington, MA: USA. pp. 171-173.
Vihervaara P, D. D'Amato, M. Forsius, P. Angelstam, C. Baessler, P. Balvanera, B. Boldgiv, P. Bourgeron,
  J. Dick, R. Kanka, S. Klotz, M. Maass, V. Melecis, P. Petřík, H. Shibata, J. Tang, J. Thompson, S. Zacharias (2013)
Using long-term ecosystem service and biodiversity data to study the impacts and adaptation options in response to climate change: insights from the global ILTER sites network. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability (In press)
<Presentation(including poster)>
Shibata H, Hasagawa Y, Watanabe T, Fukuzawa K
Impact of snowpack decrease on net nitrogen mineralization and nitrification of forest soil in northern Japan. BIOGEMON, The 7th International Symposium on Ecosystem Behavior, North Port, Maine, USA, July 15-20, 2012.
Shibata H, ILTER initiative
Socio-biogeochemistry of Nitrogen cascading and interactions. ILTER Science meeting, Lisbon, Portugal, September 18, 2012.
Shibata H, Hasagawa Y, Watanabe T, Fukuzawa K
Impact of snowpack decrease on net nitrogen mineralization and nitrification of forest soil in northern Japan. 第60回日本生態学会。2013年3月、静岡市。
  
  (c)Eco-climate system in Northeastern Eurasia and Southeast Asian tropics: impacts of global climate change
<Publication>
Abe, M. M. Hori, T. Yasunari, A. Kitoh, 2013
Effects of the Tibetan Plateau on the onset of the summer monsoon in South Asia: The role of the air-sea interaction. J. Geophy Res., doi: 10.1002/jgrd.50210, in press
Fukutomi, Y. and T. Yasunari, 2012
Structure and characteristics of submonthly-scale waves along the Indian Ocean ITCZ.Climate Dynamics in press
Kajikawa, Y., T. Yasunari, S. Yoshida, and H. Fujinami, 2012
Advanced Asian summer monsoon onset in recent decades. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L03803, 5PP., 2012, doi:10.1029/2011GL050540
Kanamori, H., T. Yasunari, and K. Kuraji, 2013
Modulation of the diurnal cycle of rainfall associated with the MJO observed by a dense hourly rain gauge network at Sarawak, Borneo. J. Climate, in press
Katayama, A., Kume, T., Komatsu, H., Saitoh, T., Ohashi, M., Nakagawa, M., Suzuki, M., Otsuki,
  K. and Kumagai, T. 2013
Large total belowground carbon flux in a Bornean tropical rainforest without dry seasons. Journal of Plant Research, In press.
Kumagai, T. and Kume, T. 2012
Influences of diurnal rainfall cycle on CO2 exchange over Bornean tropical rainforests. Ecological Modelling, 246, P91-98.
Kumagai, T. and Porporato, A. 2012
Drought-induced mortality of a Bornean tropical rainforest amplified by climate change. Journal of Geophysical Research -Biogeosciences, 117, G02032, doi:10.1029/2011JG001835.
Kumagai, T. and Porporato, A. 2012
Strategies of a Bornean tropical rainforest water use as a function of rainfall regime: isohydric or anisohydric? Plant, Cell and Environment, 35(1), P61-71.
Mathison, C., A. Wiltshire, A. P. Dimri, P. Falloon, D. Jacob, P. Kumar, E. Moors, J. Ridley, C. Siderius,
  M. Stoffel, and T. Yasunari, 2012
Regional projections of North Indian climate for adaptation studies. Science of Total Environment., doi: 10.1016/ j.scitotenv.2012.04.066
Prasanna, V., J. Subere, K. Dwijendra, G. Srinivasan, T. Yasunari, 2012
Development of Daily Gridded Rainfall Dataset over the Ganga, Brahmaputra and Meghna River Basins.Meteorol. Appl., doi: 10.1002/met.1327
Sato H, Ise, T. 2012
Effect of plant dynamic processes on African vegetation responses to climate change: analysis using the spatially explicit individual-based dynamic global vegetation model (SEIB-DGVM). Journal of Geophysical Research - Biogeosciences, doi:10.1029/2012JG002056.
Tanaka, K., H.-J. Kim, K. Saito, H. G. Takahashi, M. Watanabe, T. Yokohata, M. Kimoto, K. Takata,
  and T. Yasunari, 2012
How have both cultivation and warming influenced annual global isoprene and monoterpene emissions since the preindustrial era? Atmos. Chem. Phys., 12, 16515-16555
Xue, B.-L., Komatsu, H., Kumagai, T., Kotani, A., Otsuki, K. and Ohta, T. 2012
Interannual variation of evapotranspiration in an eastern Siberian larch forest. Hydrological Processes, 26(15), P2360-2368.
Yanase, W., M. Satoh, H. Taniguchi and H. Fujinami, 2012
Seasonal and intra-seasonal modulation of tropical cyclogenesis environment over the Bay of Bengal during the extended summer monsoon, J. Climate, 25, 2914-2930.
Yoshida R, Sawada M, Yamazaki T, Ohta T, Hiyama T. 2013
Influence of Land Cover Change on Regional Water Cycles in Eastern Siberia. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 52, 484-497.
  
  (d)Assessment of multiple effects of climate change on coastal marine ecosystem
<Publication>
Magdaong, E. T., M. Fujii, H. Yamano, W. Y. Licuanan, W. L. Campos, A. C. Alcala, A. T. White, A. Maypa,
  D. Apistar and R. Martinez
Long-term change in coral cover and the effectiveness of marine protected areas in the Philippines: a meta-analysis, Hydrobiologia, submitted.
Yara, Y., M. Fujii, H. Yamano and Y. Yamanaka
Projection and uncertainty in coral bleaching responses to sea surface temperature rises: A multiple climate model study, Hydrobiologia, submitted.
<Presentation(including poster)>
Magdaong, E. T., H. Yamano, M. Fujii, W. Y. Licuanan, W. L. Campos, A. C. Alcala, A. T. White,
  A. Maypa, D. Apistar and R. Martinez
Long-term change in coral cover and the effectiveness of marine protected areas in the Philippines: a meta-analysis, International Symposium on Biodiversity in changing coastal waters of tropical and subtropical Asia, Reihoku-Amakusa, Japan, Nov.-Dec., 2013.
Yamano, H., K. Sugihara, M. Kawachi, R. Terada, T. Sunobe, N. Kumagai, M. Fujii and Y. Yamanaka
Poleward range shifts/expansions of shallow-water marine organisms around Japan, International Symposium on Biodiversity in changing coastal waters of tropical and subtropical Asia, Reihoku-Amakusa, Japan, Nov.-Dec., 2013.
Yara, Y., M. Fujii, H. Yamano and Y. Yamanaka
Projection and uncertainty in coral bleaching responses to sea surface temperature rises: A multiple climate model study, International Symposium on Biodiversity in changing coastal waters of tropical and subtropical Asia, Reihoku-Amakusa, Japan, Nov.-Dec., 2013.
Yara, Y., H. Yamano, M. Fujii, Y. Yamanaka
Projected shift of coral habitats around Japan under different future CO2 emission scenarios, International Symposium on Biodiversity in changing coastal waters of tropical and subtropical Asia, Reihoku-Amakusa, Japan, Nov.-Dec., 2013.

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