Theme B:Climate change projection contributing to stabilization target setting

FY2013 FY2012
FY2012
( i ) Long-term global change projection based on diverse scenarios
  
  (a)Development of an earth system model dealing with variations of greenhouse gasses, land use change etc.
<Publications>
Andrew, J. C-P., M. P. Baldwin, T. Birner, R. X. Black, A. M. Butler, N. Calvo, N. A. Davis, E. P. Gerber,
  N. Gillet, S. Hardiman, J. Kim, K. Krüger, Y-Y. Lee, E. Manzini, B. A. McDaniel, L. Polvani, T. Reichler,
  T. A. Shaw, M. Sigmond, S-W. Son, M. Toohey, L Wilcox, S. Yoden, B. Christiansen, F. Lott, D. Shindell,
  S. Yukimoto, and S. Watanabe (2013)
On the lack of stratospheric dynamical variability in low-top versions of the CMIP5 models, J. Geophys. Res., doi:10.1002/jgrd.50125, in press.
Gerber, E., A. Butler, N. Calvo, A. Charlton-Perez, M. Giorgetta, E. Manzini, J. Perlwitz, L. M. Polvani,
  F. Sassi, A. Scaife, T. A. Shaw, S.-W. Son, and S. Watanabe (2012)
Assesing and understanding the impact of stratospheric dynamics and variability on the Earth system, Bull. American. Met. Soc., 93, 845-859, doi:10.1175/BMAS-D-11-00145.1.
Ito, A. (2013)
Global modeling study of potentially bioavailable iron input from shipboard aerosol sources to the ocean, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 27, 1–10, doi: 10.1029/2012GB004378.
Kim, H.-J., B. Wang, S. Watanabe, A. Noda, M. Watanabe, and M. Kawamiya (2012)
Robust signal of the simulated Northern Hemisphere summer monsoon variability during the recent warming period, in preparation.
Sato, K., S. Tateno, S. Watanabe, and Y. Kawatani (2012)
Gravity wave characteristics in the Southern Hemisphere revealed by a high-resolution middle-atmosphere general circulation model, J. Atmos. Sci., 69, 1378-1396, doi:10.1175/JAS-D-11-0101.1
Tomikawa, Y., K. Sato, S. Watanabe, Y. Kawatani, K. Miyazaki, and M. Takahashi (2012)
Growth of planetary waves and the formation of an elevated stratopause after a major stratospheric sudden warming in a T213L256 GCM, J. Geophys. Res., 117, DOI: 10.1029/2011JD017243.
Wang, B., J. Liu, H.-J. Kim, P. J. Webster, S.-Y. Yim, and B. Xiang (2013)
Northern Hemisphere summer monsoon intensified by Mega-ENSO and AMO, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA., revised.
Watanabe, S., and Y. Kawatani (2012)
Sensitivity of the QBO to mean tropical upwelling under a changing climate simulated by an Earth system model, J. Metorol. Soc. Jpn., 90A, 351-360, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2012-A20.
Watanabe, S., and T. Yokohata (2012)
Future Increase of All-sky UV-B over Asia Projected by an Earth System Model., J. Metorol. Soc. Jpn., 90A, 297–306, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2012-A15.
Watanabe, S., T. Takemura, K. Sudo, T. Yokohata, and H. Kawase (2012)
Anthropogenic changes in the surface all-sky UV-B radiation through 1850–2005 simulated by an Earth system model, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 12, 5249-5257, doi:10.5194/acp-12-5249-2012.
<Presentation(including poster)>
Ito, A.
Supply of Soluble Iron from Anthropogenic Sources to the Ocean, IGAC 12th International Conference, September 2012, China.
Ito, A.
Supply of Soluble Iron from Anthropogenic Sources to the Ocean, IGAC 12th International Conference, September 2012, China.
Ito, A., J. F. Kok, Y. Feng, and J. E. Penner
Effect of Estimation of Dust Size Distribution at Emission on Iron Deposition, SOLAS OSC 2012, May 2012, Cle Elum, USA.
Ito, A., J. F. Kok, Y. Feng, and J. E. Penner
Underlying uncertainty in future projection of iron deposition to the ocean, AOGS-AGU (WPGM) Joint Assembly, August 2012, Singapore.
  
  (b)Information gathering and examination on socio-economic scenarios toward stabilization target setting
<Publications>
Weaver, A. J., J. Sedáček, M. Eby, K. Alexander, E. Crespin, T. Fichefet, G. Philippon-Berthier, F. Joos,
  K. Kawamiya, K. Matsumoto, M. Steinacher, K. Tachiiri, K. Tokos, M. Yoshimori and K. Zickfeld (2012)
Stability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation: a modelintercomparison, Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L20709, doi: 10.1029/2012GL053763.
Zickfeld, K., M. Eby, K. Alexander, A. J. Weaver, E. Crespin, T. Fichefet, H. Goosse, G. Philippon-Berthier,
  N. R. Edwards, P. B. Holden, A. V. Eliseev, I. I. Mokhov, G. Feulner, H. Kienert, M. Perrette,
  T. Schneider von Deimling, C. E. Forest, P. Friedlingstein, F. Joos, R. Spahni, M. Steinacher, M. Kawamiya,
  K. Tachiiri, D. Kicklighter, E. Monier, A. Schlosser, A. P. Sokolov, K. Matsumoto, K. Tokos, S. M. Olsen,
  J. O. P. Pedersen, A. Ridgwell, G. Shaffer, M. Yoshimori, N. Zeng and F. Zhao (accepted)
Long-term Climate Change Commitment and Reversibility: An EMIC Intercomparison. J. Climate.
<Presentation(including poster)>
[Poster] Tachiiri, K., J. C. Hargreaves, J. D. Annan, C. Huntingford, T. Hajima and M.Kawamiya (2012)
Uncertainty in land carbon storage for the RCP 4.5 scenario, the 3rd International Conference on Earth System Modelling, 3ICESM-184, Sep. 17-21, Hamburg.
[Poster] Tachiiri, K., J. C. Hargreaves, J. D. Annan, C. Huntingford and M. Kawamiya (2012)
Temperature rise and allowable carbon emissions for the RCP2.6 Scenario, the 2012 American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, Dec. 3-7, San Francisco.
  
( ii ) Obtaining scientific perceptions on large-scale variations and modifications of climate
  
  (a)Development of technologies for numerical investigations on tipping elements and irreversibility of environmental changes (ice sheet collapse etc.)
<Publications>
Saito, K., T. Zhang, D. Yang, S. Marchenko, R. G. Barry, V. Romanovsky, and L. Hinzman (2013)
Influence of the Physical Terrestrial Arctic in the Eco-climate System, Ecological Applications, accepted.

PAGE TOP