List of Research Articles
| FY2013 | FY2012 |
Theme A：Prediction and diagnosis of imminent global climate change| 【Research Subject】 |
| （ i ） Understanding mechanisms of climate variability and change |
| ＜Sub-Research Subject＞ |
| （a）Studies on prediction and predictability of climate variability from interannual to decadal time scales |
| （b）①Towards reducing uncertainty in model-based estimation of climate sensitivity |
| （b）②Reduction of uncertainty in climate models relevant to climate sensitivity |
| 【Research Subject】 |
| （ ii ） Development of an integrated prediction system for global climate studies |
| ＜Sub-Research Subject＞ |
| （a）Development of a seamless prediction system for seasonal-to-decadal time scales |
| （b）Development of data assimilation technology for optimizing initial and boundary conditions |
Theme B：Climate change projection contributing to stabilization target setting| 【Research Subject】 |
| （ i ） Long-term global change projection based on diverse scenarios |
| ＜Sub-Research Subject＞ |
| （a）Development of an earth system model dealing with variations of greenhouse gasses, land use change etc. |
| （b）Information gathering and examination on socio-economic scenarios toward stabilization target setting |
| （c）Integrated assesment on climate projection experiments and socio-economic science |
| 【Research Subject】 |
| （ ii ） Obtaining scientific perceptions on large-scale variations and modifications of climate |
| ＜Sub-Research Subject＞ |
| （a）Development of technologies for numerical investigations on tipping elements and irreversibility of environmental changes (ice sheet collapse etc.) |
| （b）Development of technologies for numerical investigations on geoengineering (stratospheric aerosol injection etc.) |
Theme C：Development of basic technology for risk information on climate change| 【Research Subject】 |
| （ i ） Probabilistic climate projection for risk assessment |
| ＜Sub-Research Subject＞ |
| （a）Efficient approach for climate ensemble experiment |
| （b）Development of statistical methodology of ensemble data on climate change |
| （c）Improvement in cost-efficiency of dynamical downscaling for ensemble data |
| 【Research Subject】 |
| （ ii ） Producing a standard climate scenario by using super high resolution models |
| ＜Sub-Research Subject＞ |
| （a）Development of quantification method for reliability and uncertainty of climate change information ※Refer to（b）for results |
| （b）Downscaling of the change in future weather extremes by using high-resolution models |
| （c）Development of a coupled ocean-atmosphere non-hydrostatic model for typhoon research |
Theme D：Precise impact assessments on climate change
