Theme A：Prediction and diagnosis of imminent global climate change

FY2013 FY2012
FY2013
（ i ） Understanding mechanisms of climate variability and change
  
  （a）Studies on prediction and predictability of climate variability from interannual to decadal time scales
＜Publication＞
Chikamoto, T., M. Kimoto, M. Ishii, T. Mochizuki, T. T. Sakamoto, H. Tatebe, Y. Komuro, M. Watanabe,
    T. Nozawa, H. Shiogama, M. Mori, S. Yasunaka, Y. Imada, 2013
An overview of decadal climate Predictability in a multi-model ensemble by climate model MIROC. Clim. Dyn., 40, 1201-1222, doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1351-y.
Doblas-Reyes F.J., I. Andreu-Burillo, Y. Chikamoto, J. García, V. Guemas, M. Kimoto, T. Mochizuki,
    L.R.L. Rodrigues and G.J. van Oldenborgh, 2013
Initialized near-term regional climate change prediction. Nature Comm., 4, 1715, doi:10.1038/ncomms2704.
Hayasaki, M., R. Kawamura, M. Mori, and M. Watanabe, 2013
Response of extratropical cyclone activity to the Kuroshio large meander in northern winter. Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 1-5, doi:10.1002/grl.50546.
Hu, A., G. A. Meehl, W. Han, J. Yin, B. Wu, and M. Kimoto, 2013
Influence of continental ice retreat on future global climate. J. Climate, 26, 3087–3111, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00102.1.
Imada Y., Watanabe M., Mori M., Kimoto M., Shiogama H, and Ishii M. (2013)
Contribution of atmospheric circulation change to the 2012 heavy rainfall in southern Japan, [in "Explaining Extreme Events of 2012 from a Climate Perspective"]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 94 (9), S52-S54.
Imada, Y., H. Tatebe, Y. Komuro, and M. Kimoto, 2013
Multi-decadal modulation of tropical Pacific instability wave activity since the middle of the twentieth century. Sci. Online Lett. Atmos., 9, 102-105, doi:10.2151/sola.2013-023.
Kamae, Y., M. Watanabe, M. Kimoto, and H. Shiogama, 2014
Summertime land-sea thermal contrast and atmospheric circulation over East Asia in a warming climate--Part I: Past changes and future projections. Clim. Dyn., in press, doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2073-0.
Meehl, G. A., L. Goddard, G. Boer, R. Burgman, G. Branstator, C. Cassou, S. Corti, G. Danabasoglu,
    F.Doblas-Reyes, E. Hawkins, A. Karspeck, M. Kimoto, A. Kumar, D. Matei, J. Mignot, R. Msadek,
    H.Pohlmann,  M. Rienecker, T. Rosati, E. Schneider, D. Smith, R. Sutton, H. Teng, G. J. van Oldenborgh,
    G. Vecchi, and S.  Yeager, 2013
Decadal climate prediction: an update from the trenches. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc.., doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00241.1
Mori, M., M. Kimoto, M. Ishii, S. Yokoi, T. Mochizuki, Y. Chikamoto, M. Watanabe, T. Nozawa, H. Tatebe,
    T. T. Sakamoto, Y. Komuro, Y. Imada, and H. Koyam, 2013
Hindcast prediction and nearfuture projection of tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific using CMIP5 near-term experiments with MIROC. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 91, 431-452.
Mori, M., M. Watanabe, and M. Kimoto, 2013
Superrotation and nonlinearHadley circulation response to zonally asymmetric sea surfacetemperature in an aqua-planet GCM. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 91A, 269-291,doi:10.2151/jmsj.2013-A10.
Mochizuki, T., M. Kimoto, Y. Chikamoto, M. Mori, M. Watanabe, and M. Ishii, 2014
Error sensitivity to initial climate states in Pacific decadal hindcasts. Sci. Online Lett. Atmos., 10, 39-44.
Ohba M, Shiogama H, Yokohata T. , Watanabe M. (2013)
Impact of Strong Tropical Volcanic Eruptions on ENSO Simulated in a Coupled GCM. J Climate, 26, 5169–5182.
Shiogama H, Watanabe M., Imada Y., Mori M., Ishii M. and Kimoto M. (2013)
An Event Attribution of the 2010 Drought in the South Amazon Region using the MIROC5 Model. Atmospheric Science Letters, 14(3), 170-175.
Smith, D. M., A. A. Scaife, G. J. Boer, M. Caian, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, V. Guemas, E. Hawkins, W. Hazeleger,
    L. Hermanson, C.-K. Ho, M. Ishii, V. Kharin, M. Kimoto, B. Kirtman, J. Lean, D. Matei, W. J. Merryfield,
    W. A. Müller, H. Pohlmann, A. Rosati, B. Wouters, and K. Wyser, 2013
Real-time multimodel decadal climate predictions. Clim. Dyn., 41, 2875-2888, 10.1007/s00382-012-1600-0.
Su, H., J. H. Jiang, C. Zhai, V. S. Perun, J. T. Shen, A. DelGenio, L. S. Nazarenko, L. Donner, L. Horowitz,
    C.  Seman, C. Moncrette, J. Petch, M. Ringer, J. Cole, A. Gettelman, M. Watanabe, J.-L.Dufresne,
    L. Rotstayn, S.  Jeffrey, T. Wu, H. Kawai, T. Koshiro, E. M. Volodin, M. Mesquita, T. Iversen, T. L'Ecuyer,
    J. P. Teixeira, and G.  L. Stephens, 2013
Diagnosis of regime-dependent cloud simulation errors in CMIP5 models using 'A-Train' satellite observations and reanalysis data. J. Geophys. Res., 118, 2762-2780, doi:10.1029/2012JD018575.
Tanaka, K., H.-J. Kim, K. Saito, H. G. Takahashi, M. Watanabe, T. Yokohata, M. Kimoto, K. Takata,
    and T.  Yasunari, 2013
How have both cultivation and warming influenced annual global isoprene and monoterpene emissions since the preindustrial era? Atmos. Chem. Phys., 12, 9703-9718.
Tatebe, H., Y. Imada, M. Mori, M. Kimoto, and H. Hasumi, 2013
Control of decadal and bidecadal climate variability in the tropical Pacific by the off-equatorial South Pacific Ocean, Journal of Climate, Vol. 26, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00137.1.
Watanabe M, Shiogama H, Imada Y, Mori M, Ishii M, Kimoto M (2013)
Event attribution of the August 2010 Russian heat wave. SOLA, 9, 65-68, doi:10.2151/sola.2013-015.
Watanabe, M., Y. Kamae, M. Yoshimori, A. Oka, M. Sato, M. Ishii, T. Mochizuki, and M. Kimoto, 2013
Strengthening of ocean heat uptake efficiency associated with the recent climate hiatus. Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 3175-3179, doi:10.1002/grl.50541.
Williams, K. D., A. Bodas-Salcedo, M. Deque, S. Fermepin, B. Medeiros, M. Watanabe, C. Jacob, S. A. Klein,
    C. A. Senior, and D. L. Williamson, 2013
The Transpose AMIP II experiment and its application to the understanding of Sourthern Ocean cloud biases in climate models. J. Climate, 26, 3258-3274.
Yang, P., Z. Li, W. Wu, Z. Liu, M. Inatsu, Y. Zha, P. Tang, Z. Li, M. Kimoto, H. Tang, 2013
Simulated impact of elevated CO2, temperature, and precipitation on the winter wheat yield in the North China Plain. Reg. Environ. Change, doi: 10.1007/s10113-013-0484-9.
Yasunaka, S., and M Kimoto, 2013
Upper ocean temperature warming pattern in the past 50 years. J. Oceanogr., 69, 87–95, DOI 10.1007/s10872-012-0159-z.
Ao, C.-O., J. Jiang, A. J. Mannucci, H. Su, O. Verkhoglyadova, C. Zhai, J. Cole, L. Donner, J.-L. Dufresne,
    T. Inversen, H. Kawai, T. Koshiro, C. Morcrette, L. Rotstayn, and M. Watanabe, 2014
Evaluation of CMIP5 upper troposphere geopotential height with GPS radio occultation observations. Geophys. Res. Lett., submitted.
Hirota, N., Y. N. Takayabu, M. Watanabe, M. Kimoto, and M. Chikira, 2014
Role of convective entrainment in spatial distributions of and temporal variations in precipitation over tropical oceans. J. Climate, submitted.
Imada, Y., S. Kanae, M. Kimoto, M. Watanabe and M. Ishii, 2013
Predictability of persistent Thailand rainfall during mature monsoon season in 2011 using statistical downscaling of AOGCM seasonal prediction, Clim. Dyn, submitted.
Kamae, Y., M. Watanabe, M. Kimoto, and H. Shiogama, 2014
Summertime land-sea thermal contrast and atmospheric circulation over East Asia in a warming climate. Part II: Importance of CO2-induced continental warming. Clim. Dyn., in revision.
Kim, H.-J., B. Wang, S. Watanabe, A. Noda, M. Watanabe, and M. Kawamiya, 2014
Robust signal of the simulated Northern Hemisphere summer monsoon variability during the recent warming period. Geophys. Res. Lett., submitted.
Ma, H.-Y., S. Xie, K. Williams, J. S. Boyle, S. Bony, H. Douville, S. Fermepin, S. A. Klein, B. Medeiros,
    M. Watanabe, and D. L. Williamson, 2014
On the correspondence between mean forecast errors and climate errors in CMIP5 models. J. Climate, accepted.
Nodzu, M. I., T. Nozawa, M. Ishii, K. Ogochi and T. Nishimura, 2013
Aerosol-driven uncertainty in simulated air temperatures, J. Geophys. Res., submitted.
Sato, K., J. Inoue, and M. Watanabe, 2014
Influence of the Gulf Stream on the Barents sea ice retreat and Eurasian coldness. Geophys. Res. Lett., submitted.
Watanabe, M., Y. Kamae, and M. Kimoto, 2014
Robust increase of the tropical Pacific rainfall and its variability in a warmed climate. Geophys. Res. Lett., submitted.
Yamazaki, K., and M. Watanabe, 2014
Effects of extratropical warming on ENSO amplitudes in an ensemble of a coupled GCM. Clim. Dyn., submitted.
Yamazaki, K., Y. Imada, and M. Watanabe, 2014
Sea surface temperature anomaly in the north tropical Atlantic and its role in the seasonal predictability of ENSO. in prep.
＜Presentation（including poster）＞
Imada, Y., H. Shiogama, M. Watanabe, M. Mori, M. Ishii, and M. Kimoto, 2013
Contribution of atmospheric circulation change to the 2012 heavy rainfall in southern Japan, IDAG meeting 2013, Boulder, July 1-3, 2013.
Imada, Y., and co-authors, 2013
Challenges to an Event Attribution using the MIROC5 model. CLIMATE2013, UC Barkeley, March 20-22, 2013.
Imada, Y., M. Kimoto, M. Ishii, M. Watanabe, S. Kanae, 2013
New Seasonal Prediction System by MIROC5 and its application to the regional climate prediction. Third CLIVAR WS 'New Strategies for Evaluating ENSO Processes in Climate Models', Hobart, January 21-23, 2013.
Mochizuki, T., M. Kimoto, Y. Chikamoto, M. Mori, M. Watanabe, M. Ishii, 2013
Possible remote influence on pacific decadal variability and predictability. Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, Makuhari, Chiba, May 24, 2013(poster).
Mochizuki, T., M. Kimoto, Y. Chikamoto, M. Mori, M. Watanabe, M. Ishii, 2013
Possible remote influence on pacific decadal variability and predictability. International workshop on seasonal to decadal prediction, Toulouse, France, May 13-16, 2013(poster).
Mochizuki, T., M. Kimoto, and M. Watanabe, 2014
Decadal prediction in the Pacific, International workshop on climate system modeling, Honolulu, March 10, 2014.
Shiogama H, M Watanabe,Yukiko Imada, Masato Mori, Masayoshi Ishii, M Kimoto, 2013
An event attribution of the 2010 drought in the South Amazon region using the MIROC5 model. International Detection and Attribution. Group. Boulder, Colorado, USA, 1-3 July 2003.
Shiogama H, M Watanabe, Y Imada, M Mori, RK Lestari, M Kimoto, Youichi Kamae, M Ishii, 2014
Event attribution studies from Asia. 1st General Assembly of EU FP7・EUCLEIA (EUropean, CLimate and weather Events: Interpretation and Attribution), ETH Zurich, 20-22 January 2014 (Keynote perspectives)
Tatebe, H., Y. Imada, M. Mori, M. Kimoto, and H. Hasumi, 2013
Control of decadal and bidecadal climate variability in the tropical Pacific by the off-equatorial South Pacific Ocean. International workshop on seasonal to decadal prediction, Toulouse, France, May 13-16, 2013.
Tatebe, H., M. Kurogi, Y. Tanaka, H. Hasumi, and M. Kimoto, 2013
Improvement of climatic mean state and variability over the western North Pacific by better representing oceanic fronts in a nested regional ocean model implemented in to MIROC5. EGU Annual Assembly, Vienna, April 2013.
Tatebe, H., and co-authors, 2013
Development of the updated version of MIROC5 and a data assimilation system using LETKF applied to the atmosphere-ocean coupled system. CLIMATE2013, UC Barkeley, March 20-22, 2013.
Watanabe, M., 2013
Lessons from CMIP5. RIMS International conference on theoretical aspects of variability and predictability in weather and climate systems, Kyoto, September 22-25, 2013.
Watanabe, M., 2013
Review for CMIP5 high-resolution time slice experiments. Next generation climate change experiments needed to advance knowledge and for assessment of CMIP6, Aspen, 4-9 August, 2013.
Watanabe, M., 2013
Land-sea thermal contrast and summer atmospheric circulation over East Asia in a warmed climate. 12th East Asian Climate conference, Busan, July 1-3, 2013.
Watanabe, M., 2013
Equatorial mean precipitation and ENSO in CMIP5 models: Its diversity and causes of errors. JpGU, Tokyo, May 24, 2013.
Watanabe, M., and K. Yamazaki, 2013
Effects of extratropical warming on ENSO amplitudes in a GCM historical ensemble. Third CLIVAR WS 'New Strategies for Evaluating ENSO Processes in Climate Models', Hobart, January 21-23, 2013.
Watanabe, M. 2013
Disentangling causes of equatorial mean precipitation errors in multiple model ensembles, 4th WGNE workshop on systematic errors in weather and climate models, Met Office, Exeter, April 15, 2013.
Yamazaki, K. and Y. Imada, 2013
Recent progress in the MIROC5 seasonal prediction. DACA-13 (Joint Assembly of IAMAS and IACS), Davos, Switzerland, 8-12 July 2013.
Yamazaki, K., Y. Imada, and M. Watanabe, 2014
Sea surface temperature anomaly in the north tropical Atlantic and its role in the seasonal predictability of ENSO. 2014 Ocean Sciences Meeting, Honolulu, USA, 24-28 February 2014.
  
  （b）①Towards reducing uncertainty in model-based estimation of climate sensitivity
＜Publication＞
Yokohata, T., J. D. Annan, M. Collins, C. S. Jackson, H. Shiogama, M. Watanabe, S. Emori,
    M. Yoshimori, M. Abe, M. J. Webb, and J. C. Hargreaves 2013
Reliability and importance of structural diversity of climate model ensembles. Clim. Dyn., 41, 2745-2763, doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1733-9.
Demoto, S., M. Watanabe, and Y. Kamae 2013
Mechanism of tropical low-cloud response to surface warming using weather and climate simulations, Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 2427-2432, doi:10.1002/grl.50474.
Yoshimori, M., M. Watanabe, A. Abe-Ouchi, H. Shiogama, and T. Ogura 2013
Relative contribution of feedback processes to Arctic amplification of temperature change in MIROC GCM, Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1875-9.
Ogura, T., M. J. Webb, M. Watanabe, F. H. Lambert, Y. Tsushima, and M. Sekiguchi 2013
Importance of instantaneous radiative forcing for rapid tropospheric adjustment, Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382- 013-1955-x.
Shiogama, H., M. Watanabe, T. Ogura, T. Yokohata, and M. Kimoto 2013
Multi-parameter multiphysics ensemble (MPMPE): a new approach exploring the uncertainties of climate sensitivity, Atmos. Sci. Let., doi:10.1002/asl2.472.
Zhang, M. and coauthors 2013
CGILS:Results from the first phase of an international project to understand the physical mechanisms of low cloud feedbacks in single column models, JAMES, 5, 1-17, doi:10.1002/2013MS000246.
Bodas-Salcedo, A., K. D. Williams, M. A. Ringer, I. Beau, J. N. S. Cole, J.-L. Dufresne, T. Koshiro,
    B. Stevens,  Z. Wang, and T. Yokohata 2013
Origins of the solar radiation biases over the Southern Ocean in CFMIP2 models, J. Clim, 27, 41-56, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00169.1.
Kamae, Y., M. Watanabe, M. Kimoto, and H. Shiogama 2014
Summertime land-sea thermal contrast and atmospheric circulation over East Asia in a warming climate. Part I: Past changes and future projections, Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2073-0.
Ma, H.-Y., S. Xie, S. A. Klein, K. D. Williams, J. S. Boyle, S. Bony, H. Douville, S. Fermepin, B. Medeiros,
    S. Tyteca, M. Watanabe, and D. Williams
On the correspondence between mean forecast errors and climate errors in CMIP5 models, J. Clim., 15, 1781-1798, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00474.1.
Kamae, Y., M. Watanabe, M. Kimoto, and H. Shiogama 2013
Land-sea thermal contrast and summertime atmospheric circulation over East Asia in a warming climate Part II: Importance of CO2-induced continental warming, submitted to Clim. Dyn.
Kamae, Y., H. Shiogama, M. Watanabe, and M. Kimoto 2014
Attributing the increase in Northern Hemisphere hot summers since the late 20th century, submitted to Nature Climate Change.
Yoshimori, M., A. Abe-Ouchi, M. Watanabe, A. Oka, and T. Ogura 2014
Robust seasonality of Arctic warming processes in two different versions of MIROC GCM, submitted to J. Clim.
＜Presentation（including poster）＞
Watanabe, M.
Disentangling causes of equatorial mean precipitation errors in multiple model ensembles, 4th WGNE workshop on systematic errors in weather and climate models (Met Office, Exeter, 15 April).
Ogura T., H. Shiogama, M. Watanabe, M. Yoshimori, T. Yokohata, J. D. Annan, and J. C. Hargreaves
On the parametric uncertainty of the MIROC5 radiation bias, 4th WGNE workshop on systematic errors in weather and climate models (Met Office, Exeter, 17 April).
Yoshimori M., M. Watanabe, A. Abe-Ouchi, H. Shiogama, and T. Ogura
Relative contribution of feedback processes to Arctic amplification of temperature change in MIROC GCM, Japan Geoscience Union Meeting 2013, (Makuhari, 21 May).
Watanabe M
Mechanism of tropical low-cloud response to surface warming using weather and climate simulations, CFMIP/EUCLIPSE meeting, (Hamburg, 10 June).
Ogura T., M. J. Webb, M. Watanabe, F. H. Lambert, and Y. Tsushima (2013)
On the impact of instantaneous radiative forcing on tropospheric adjustment, CFMIP/EUCLIPSE meeting, (Hamburg, 10 June).
Kamae, Y. and M. Watanabe
Mechanisms of tropospheric cloud adjustment to CO2 increase in CMIP5 models, CFMIP/EUCLIPSE meeting, (Hamburg, 10 June).
Kawai, H. and T. Koshiro (2013)
Improvement of a stratocumulus scheme for mid-latitude maritime low clouds, CFMIP/EUCLIPSE meeting, (Hamburg, 10 June).
Koshiro, T. and M. Shiotani (2013)
Relationship between low stratiform cloud amount and estimated inversion strength in the lower troposphere over the global ocean in terms of cloud types, CFMIP/EUCLIPSE meeting, (Hamburg, 10 June).
Abe, M., T. Nozawa, T. Ogura, and K. Takata
Assessment of temporal trend in surface air temperature change in Northern High-latitude land region of climate models, the forth symposium on polar science, National Institute for Polar Research, (Tokyo, 12 November).
Abe, M., T. Nozawa, T. Ogura, and K. Takata
Assessment of snow amount in Northern Hemisphere simulated by CMIP5 climate models, National Institute for Polar Research, (Tokyo, 15 November).
Yoshimori, M., M. Watanabe, A. Abe-Ouchi, T. Ogura, and H. Shiogama
Seasonality of processes contributing to Arctic warming amplification in two MIROC GCMs, National Institute for Polar Research, (Tokyo, 12 November).
  
  （b）②Reduction of uncertainty in climate models relevant to climate sensitivity
＜Publication＞
Yamada, Y., Satoh, M. (2013)
Response of ice and liquid water paths of tropical cyclones to global warming simulated by a global nonhydrostatic model with explicit cloud microphysics. J. Climate, 26, 9931-9945. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00182.1.
Noda, A. T., Nakamura, K., Iwasaki, T., Satoh, M. (2014)
A numerical study of a stratocumulus-topped boundary-layer: relations of decaying clouds with stability parameters across inversion. J. Meteorol. Soc. Japan, 91, 727-746. doi:10.2151/jmsj.2013-601.
Noda, A. T., Nakamura, K., Iwasaki, T., Satoh, M. (2014)
Responses of subtropical marine stratocumulus cloud to perturbed lower atmospheres. SOLA, 10, 34-38.
Hashino, T., Satoh, M., Hagihara, Y., Kubota, T., Matsui, T., Nasuno, T., Okamoto, H. (2013)
Evaluating cloud microphysics from the NICAM against CloudSat and CALIPSO. J. Geophys. Res., 118, 7273-7293, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50564.
Ham, S.-H., Sohn, B.-J., Kato, S., Satoh, M. (2013)
Vertical inhomogeneity of ice cloud layers from CloudSat and CALIPSO measurements and comparison to nicam simulations. J. Geophys. Res., 118, 9930-9947. doi:10.1002/jgrd.50582.
Oouchi, K., Satoh, M. (2013)
A synoptic-scale cold pool hypothesis on the origin of mature-stage super cloud cluster – a case study with a global non-hydrostatic model, Yanai memorial volume. Meteor. Monographs, American Meteorological Society, Chap.15, accepted.
Seiki, T., Nakajima, T. (2013)
Aerosol Effects of the condensation process on a convective cloud simulation. J. Atmos. Sci., doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-12-0195.1.
Miyamoto, Y., Satoh, M., Tomita, H., Oouchi, K., Yamada, Y., Kodama, C., Kinter III, J. (2013)
Gradient wind balance in tropical cyclones in global nonhydrostatic model simulations. Mon. Wea. Rev., accepted. http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-13-00115.1.
Roh, W., Satoh, M. (2014)
Evaluation of precipitating hydrometeor parameterizations in a single-moment bulk microphysics scheme for deep convective systems over the tropical open ocean. J. Atmos. Sci., accepted.
Kuba, N., Hashino, T., Satoh, M., Suzuki, K. (2014)
Relationships between layer-mean radar reflectivity and columnar effective radius of warm cloud: Numerical study using a cloud microphysical bin model. J. Geophys. Res., accepted.
Tsushima, Y., Iga, S., Tomita, H., Satoh, M., Webb, M. (2013)
High cloud increase in a perturbed SST experiment with a global nonhydrostatic model including explicit convective processes. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, submitted.
Goto, D., Dai, T., Satoh, M., Tomita, H., Uchida, J., Misawa, S., Inoue, T., Tsuruta, H., Ueda, K., Ng, C.F.S.,
    Takami, A., Sugimoto, N., Shimizu, A., Ohara, T., Nakajima, T. (2013)
Application of a global nonhydrostatic model with a stretched-grid system to regional aerosol simulations around Japan. Geoscientific Model Development, submitted.
Seiki, T., Satoh, M., Tomita, H., Nakajima, T. (2013)
Simultaneous evaluation of ice cloud microphysics and non-sphericity of the cloud optical properties using hydrometeor video sonde and radiometer sonde in-situ observations. J. Geophys. Res., in revision.
Noda, A. T., Yamada, Y., Kodama, C., Miyakawa, T., Seiki, T., Satoh, M. (2014)
Cold and warm rain simulated using a global nonhydrostatic model without cumulus parameterization, and their responses to a warmer atmospheric condition. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, submitted.
Noda, A. T., Yamada, Y., Kodama, T., Seiki, T., Satoh, M. (2014)
Responses of tropical and subtropical high-cloud statistics to a warmer atmospheric condtion. J. Climate, submitted.
＜Presentation（including poster）＞
Satoh, M. and Y. Yamada, 2013
Response of ice and liquid water paths of tropical cyclones to global warming simulated by a global nonhydrostatic model with explicit cloud microphysics. AOGS 10th Annual Meeting, Brisbane, Australia, 28 June 2013.
Kodama, C., S. Iga, A. T. Noda, Y. Yamada, Y. Tsushima and M. Satoh, 2013
Cloud changes of multiyear simulations of NICAM and possible impact of the global warming on storm-track ice cloud, CFMIP meeting, Max Planck Institute, Hamburg, Germany, 11 June 2013.
Noda, A. T., 2013
Turbulent model in NICAM, and its impacts on clouds. 2013 NICAM workshop, 29-30 August 2013, Hawaii University.
Noda, A. T., 2013
Diurnal cycle of tropical convection in NICAM simulations. 2013 NICAM workshop, 29-30 August 2013, Hawaii University.
Noda, A. T., Y. Yamada, C. Kodama, and M. Satoh, 2013
Changes of cloud-size statistics and associated changes of radiative forcing due to global warming in global cloud-resolving simulations EUCLIPSE-CFMIP meeting, Hamburg, Germany, 10-14 June, 2013.
Oouchi, K
"Tropical cyclone research with NICAM –recent research highlight-". U.S. CLIVAR Hurricane Workshop, GFDL, USA, 2013年6月5-7日.
Oouchi, K., Taniguchi, H., Nasuno, T., Satoh, M., Tomita, H.,Yamada, Y., Ikeda, M., Shirooka, R., Yamada, H.,
   and Yoneyama, K.,
  "Quasi real-time intra-seasonal forecasting of tropical convection over the tropical warm pool: a new challenge
  of global cloud-system-resolving model". DACA13, Davos, Switzerland, 2013年7月8-12日.
Tomita, H., 2013
Global cloud permitting model, ECMWF annual seminar on Recent developments in numerical methods for atmosphere and ocean modeling, September 2-5. (Invited)
Nasuno, T., T. Li, H. Miura, T. Miyakawa, and M. Satoh, 2014
Moistening processes before the convection onset of Madden-Julian Oscillation events during the CINDY2011/DYNAMO period, Workshop on Tropical Dynamics and the MJO, 14-16 January, 2014, Honolulu, USA.
Nasuno, T., M. Satoh, and H. Tomita, 2013
Overview of NICAM Development and Simulation Results, 6th International OFES workshop and 3rd Computationally-Intensive Climate Modeling Workshop, 3-4 December, 2013, Honolulu, USA.
Nasuno, T, 2013
MJO events during CINDY2011/DYNAMO period, 2013 NICAM workshop, 29-30 August 2013, Honolulu, USA.
Nasuno, T., T. Li, H. Miura, T. Miyakawa, and M. Satoh, 2013
Moistening processes before the convection onset of Madden-Julian Oscillation events during the CINDY2011/DYNAMO period, AGU fall meeting 2013, San Francisco, USA (poster).
  
（ ii ） Development of an integrated prediction system for global climate studies
  
  （a）Development of a seamless prediction system for seasonal-to-decadal time scales
＜Publication＞
Hirahara, S., M. Ishii, and Y. Fukuda, 2014
Centennial-scale sea surface temperature analysis and its uncertainty. 27, 57-75, J. Climate. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00837.1.
Han, W., G. A. Meehl, A. Hu, M. A. Alexander, T. Yamagata, D. Yuan, M. Ishii, P. Pegion, J. Zheng,
    B. D. Hamlington, X.-W. Quan, and R. R. Leben, 2013
Intensification of decadal and multi-decadal sea level variability in the western tropical Pacific during recent decades. Clim. Dyn. doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1951-1.
Abraham, J. P., M. Baringer, N.L. Bindoff, T. Boyer, L.J. Cheng, J.A. Church, J.L. Conroy, C.M. Domingues,
    J.T. Fasullo, J. Gilson, G. Goni, S.A. Good, J. M. Gorman, V. Gouretski, M. Ishii, G.C. Johnson, S. Kizu,
    J.M. Lyman, A. M. Macdonald, W.J. Minkowycz, S.E. Moffitt, M.D. Palmer, A.R.Piola, F. Reseghetti,
    K. Schuckmann,K.E. Trenberth, I. Velicogna, J.K. Willis, 2013
A review of global ocean temperature observations: Implications for ocean heat content estimates and climate change, Reviews of Geophysics, doi: 10.1002/rog.20022.
＜Presentation＞
Ishii, M. 2013
A plan for 100-year atmosphere-ocean analysis under the SOUSEI program. 6th ACRE workshop - Applications of Reanalysis Products. FFCUL/IDL, Campo Grande, Lisbon, Portugal, 18 – 20 November 2013.
Ishii, M., and Collaborators, 2013
A Japanese Project for Reconstruction of XBT Database. CLIVARGSOP Coordinated Quality-Control of Global Subsurface Ocean Climate Observations, Hobart, Australia, 12-14 June, 2013.
Ishii, M., M. Watanabe, T. Ogura, Y. Tanaka, and M. Kimoto, 2013
Seasonal-to-decadal prediction studies under the SOUSEI program. International workshop on seasonal to decadal prediction – Toulouse, France – 13-16 May 2013.
  
  （b）Development of data assimilation technology for optimizing initial and boundary conditions
＜Publication（Accepted,Printed）＞
Tatebe, H., Y. Imada, M. Mori, M. Kimoto, and H. Hasumi, 2013
Control of decadal and bidecadal climate variability in the tropical Pacific by the off-equatorial South Pacific Ocean, Journal of Climate, Vol. 26, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00137.1.
Chikira, M., 2013
Eastward propagating intraseasonal oscillation represented by Chikira-Sugiyama cumulus parameterization. Part II: Understanding moisture variation under weak temperature gradient balance, J. Atmos. Sci. (in press)
Hamada, J.-I., S. Mori, H. Kubota, M. D. Yamanaka, U. Haryoko, S. Restari, R. Sulistyowati,
    and F.Syamsudin, 2012
Interannual Rainfall Variability over Northwestern Jawa and Its Relation to the Indian Ocean Dipole and El Nino-Southern Oscillation Events, SOLA, 8, 69-72.
＜Publication（Submitted）＞
Suzuki T. and M. Ishii, 2013
interdecadal baroclinic sea level changes in the North Pacific based on historical ocean hydrographic observations. J. Climate, submitted.
＜Presentation＞
Tatebe, H., M. Kurogi, T. Suzuki, Y. Tanaka, H. Hasumi, M. Kimoto, 2013
Roles of the oceanic SST fronts on the atmosphere represented by MIROC5 coupled with a nested regional ocean model in the Kuroshio-Oyashio confluence zone. 6th OFES international worshop, IPRC, 米国, 2013年12月3日.
Koyama, H., M. Ishii, H. Tatebe, T. Nishimura, and M. Kimoto, 2013
Assimilation of Surface Observations Using an Atmosphere-ocean Coupled EnKF, Sixth WMO Symposium on Data Assimilation, College Park, USA, 7-11 October, 2013.

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