Theme C:Development of basic technology for risk information on climate change

FY2013 FY2012
FY2013
( i ) Probabilistic climate projection for risk assessment
  
  (a)Efficient approach for climate ensemble experiment
<Publication>
Koji DAIRAKU and Junpei HIRANO
Methodology for Flood Risk Assessment in Tokyo Metropolitan Area, Annual Journal of Hydraulic Engineering,JSCE, Vol.69, No.4, I_1555-I_1560( in Japanese with English summary)
Roger A. Pielke Sr., Rob Wilby, Dev Niyogi, Faisal Hossain, Koji Dairaku, James Adegoke, George Kallos,
    Tim Seastedt, Katherine Suding(2013)
Dealing with Complexity and Extreme Events Using a Bottom-up, Resourcebased Vulnerability Perspective, Extreme Events and Natural Hazards: The Complexity Perspective Geophysical Monograph Series 196, 10.1029/2011GM001086
Nobumitsu Tsunematsu, Koji Dairaku, and Junpei Hirano(2013)
Future changes in summertime precipitation amounts associated with topography in the Japanese islands, Journal of Geophysical Research, 118,doi:10.1002/jgrd.50383
Junpei HIRANO and Koji Dairaku
Development of Flood Risk Assessment Methodology for climatic change adaptation, Annual Journal of Hydraulic Engineering(accepted)
Kusaka, H., K. Nawata, A. Suzuki-Parker, Y. Takane, and N. Furuhashi, 2013
Mechanism of precipitation increase with urbanization in Tokyo as revealed by ensemble climate simulations, J. Appl. Meteor. Clim., in press
Takayabu, I., H. Kanamaru, K. Dairaku, R. Benestadt, H. von Storch, and J. H. Christensen, 2014
Ascertning the quality and utility of downscaling data. The Science of the Total Environment, submitted.
<Publication(submitted)>
Akimoto,Y., and H. Kusaka
A climatological study of fog in Japan based on the event data. Atmospheric Research, submitted
<Book>
Junpei Hirano, Koji Dairaku(2013)
Climate change adaptation and flood risk assessment in Tokyo Metropolitan Area, Impacts World 2013, International Conference on Climate Change Effects, pp.1-6( reviewed)
Koji Dairaku, Junpei Hirano(2013)
Methodology of flood risk assessment in Tokyo metropolitan area for climate change adaptation Policy on Disaster Prevention and Reduction for Industrial Parks in East Asia, ERIA Research Project Report 2012
Kusaka, H., K. Nawata, A. Suzuki-Parker
Y. Takane, and N. Furuhashi, 2013: Mechanism of precipitation increase with urbanization in Tokyo as revealed by ensemble climate simulations, J. Appl. Meteor. Clim., in press
  
  (b)Development of statistical methodology of ensemble data on climate change
<Presentation(including poster)>
中野慎也, 鈴木香寿恵, 上野玄太(2013)
A data-driven Monte Carlo simulation model of typhoon tracks, International Conference on Simulation Technology(Lecture), 明治大学,2013年9月12日.
鈴木香寿恵, 中野慎也, 上野玄太(2013)
Probability distributions of tropical cyclone tracks around Japan in the reanalysis and GCM data based on trajectory analysis, International Workshop in Downscaling 2013(Poster).
中野慎也, 鈴木香寿恵, 上野玄太(2013)
A Monte Carlo model of tropical cyclone trajectories on the basis of empirical polynomial velocity fields, International Workshop on Downscaling 2013(Poster).
Takayabu, I., Dairaku, K., Ueno, G., Yoshimura, K., Ueda, H., Kitoh, A. and Tsuboki, K(. 2013)
Introducing a new program in Japan for risk assessment of climate change, Sixth China-Korea-Japan Joint Conference on Meteorology(Lecture).
Suzuki, K., Nakano, S. and Ueno, G(. 2013)
An assessment method for the risks of Tropical Cyclones in the present and future climate around Japan, 2013 AGU Fall Meeting(Lecture), Moscone Center, San Francisco, 2013年12月10日.
Suzuki, K., Nakano, S. and Ueno, G(2014)
Prediction of probability distribution of Tropical Cyclone trajectories under future climate around Japan, AMS 94th annual meeting(Lecture), Atlanta, 2014年2月3日.
Suzuki, K., Nakano, S. and Ueno, G(2014)
Probability distribution of tropical cyclone tracks and seasonal variations of the cyclogenesis region in GCM, The 2014 Ocean Sciences Meeting(Poster),Honolulu, 2014年2月27日.
  
  (c)Improvement in cost-efficiency of dynamical downscaling for ensemble data
<Publication>
Piontek, F., C. Müller, T.A.M. Pugh, D. Clark, D. Deryng, J. Elliott, F.J. Colon-Gonzalez, M. Florke, C. Folberth,     W. Franssen, K. Frieler, A.D. Friend, S.N. Goslin, D. Hemming, N. Khabarov, H. Kim, M. Lomas, Y. Masaki,
    M. Mengel, A. Morse, K. Neumann, K. Nishina, S. Ostberg, R. Pavlick, A.C. Ruane, J. Schewe, E. Schmid,
    T. Stacke, Q. Tang, Z. Tessler, A. M. Tompkins, L. Warszawski, D. Wisser and H. Joachim Schellnhuber
Multisectoral climate 109 impact hotspots in a warming world, PNAS, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1222471110, 2013.
Prudhomme, C., I. Giuntoli, E. L. Robinson, D. B. Clark, N. W. Amell, R. Dankers, B. M. Fekete, W. Franssen,
    D. Gerten, S. N. Gosling, S. Hagemann, D. M. Hannah, H. Kim, Y. Masaki, Y. Satoh, T. Stacke, Y. Wada,
    and D. Wisser
Hydrological droughts in the 21st century, hotspots and uncertainties from a global mulimodel ensemble experiment, PNAS, doi:10.1073/pnas.1222473110, 2013.
Elliott, J. D. Deryng, C. Muller, K. Frieler, M. Konzmann, D. Gerten, M. Glotter, M. Florke, Y. Wada, N. Best,
    S. Eisner, B. M. Fekete, C. Folberth, I. Foster, S. N. Gosling, I. Haddeland, N. Khabarov, F. Ludwig, Y. Masaki,     S. Olin, C. Rosenzweig, A. C. Ruane, Y. Satoh, E. Schmid, T. Stacke, Q. Tang, and D. Wisser
Constraints and potentials of future irrigation water availability on agricultural production under climate change, PNAS, doi:10.1073/pnas.1222474110, 2013
Schewe, J., J. Heinke, D. Gerten, I. Haddeland, N. W. Arnell, D. B. Clark, R. Dankers, S. Eisner, B. M. Fekete,     F. J. Colon-Gonzalez, S. N. Gosling, H. Kim, X. Liu, Y. Masaki, F. T. Portmann, Y. Satoh, T. Stacke, Q. Tang,
    Y. Wada, D. Wisser, T. Albrecht, K. Frieler, F. Piontek, L. Warszawski, P. Kabat,
Multimodel assessment of water scarcity under climate change, PNAS, doi:10.1073/pnas.1222460110, 2013.
Dankers, R., N. W. Amell, D. B. Clark, P. D. Falloon, B. M. Fekete, S. N. Gosling, J. Heinke, H. Kim, Y. Masaki,     Y. Satoh, T. Stacke, Y. Wada, and D. Wisser,
First look at changes in flood hazard in the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project ensemble, PNAS, doi:10.1073/pnas.1302078110, 2013.
Suseno, Y., D. Prabowo, T. J. Yamada
The role of GPS precipitable water vapor and atmospheric stability index in the statistically-based rainfall estimation using MTSAT data, J. Hydrometeor., doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-12-0128.1, 2013.
Lee, J.-W., S.-Y. Hong, E.-C. Chang, M.-S. Suh, and H.-S. Kang
Assessment of future climate change over East Asia due to the RCP scenarios downscaled by GRIMs-RMP, Clim. Dyn., doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-1841-6, 2013.
Kim, J.-W., S.-W. Yeh, and E.-C. Chang
Combined effect of El Niño-Southern Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation on the East Asian winter monsoon, Clim. Dyn., 10.1007/s00382-013-1730-z, 2013.
Chang, E.-C., S.-W. Yeh, S.-Y. Hong, and R. Wu
Sensitivity of summer precipitation to tropical sea surface temperatures over East Asia in the GRIMs GMP, Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 1824–1831, doi:10.1002/grl.50389, 2013.
Hong, S.-Y., H. Park, H.-B. Cheong, J.-E. E. Kim, M.-S. Koo, J. Jang, S. Ham, S.-O Hwang, B.-K. Park,
     E.-C. Chang, and H. Li
The Global/Regional Integrated Model system (GRIMs), Asia-Pacific J. Atmos. Sci., 49(2), 219-243, 2013.
Hatono, M., K. Noda, H.-J. Kim, S. Baimoung, K. Yoshimura, K. Oki, and T. Oki
Conversion of surface water coverage to water volume using satellite data, Hydrol. Res. Let., in print.
Li, H. M. Kanamitsu, S.-Y. Hong, K. Yoshimura, D.R. Cayan, V. Misra, and L. Sun
Projected climate change scenario over California by a regional ocean-atmosphere coupled model system, Clim. Change, doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-1025-8, 2013.
Liu, Z., K. Yoshimura, G.J. Bowen, J.M. Welker
GCM-based analysis of Pacific/North American (PNA) teleconnection controls on precipitation isotopes across the contiguous USA, J. Clim., in print.
Buenning, N.H., L. Stott, L. Kanner, K. Yoshimura
Diagnosing atmospheric influences on the interannual 18O/16O variations in western U.S. precipitations, Water, 5, 1116-1140, 2013.
Liu, Z., K. Yoshimura, C. D. Kennedy, X. Wang, S. Pang,
Water vapor δ D over eastern Asia 110 derived from SCIAMACHY satellite measurements, Science China Earth Sciences, in print.
Liu, G., K. Kojima, K. Yoshimura, T. Okai, A. Suzuki, T. Oki, F. Siringan, M. Yoneda, H. Kawahata
A model-based test of accuracy of seawater oxygen isotope ratio record derived from a coral dual proxy method at southeastern Luzon Island, the Philippines, JGR-Biogeo, doi:10.1002/jgrg.20074, 2013.
Farlin, J., C.-T. Lai, K. Yoshimura
Influence of synoptic weather events on the isotopic composition of atmospheric moisture in a coastal city of the western United States, WRR, doi:10.1002/wrcr.20305, 2013.
Suwarman R, K. Ichiyanagi, M. Tanoue, K. Yoshimura, S. Mori, M. D. Yamanaka, N. Kurita and F. Syamsudin
The Variability of Stable Isotopes and Water Origin of Precipitation over the Maritime Continent. SOLA, 9, 74-78, doi:10.2151/ sola.2013-01, 2013.
Yoshimura, K. and M. Kanamitsu
Incremental correction for the dynamical downscaling of ensemble mean atmospheric fields, Mon. Wea. Rev., 141, 3087–3101, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-12-00271.1, 2013.
Pierce, D., D. Cayan, T. Das, E. Maurer, N. Miller, Y. Bao, M. Kanamitsu, K. Yoshimura, M. Snyder, L. Sloan,
    G. Franco, and M. Tyree,
The key role of heavy precipitation events in climate model disagreements of future annual precipitation changes in California, J. Clim., 2013.
Li, H., M. Kanamitsu, S.-Y. Hong, K. Yoshimura, D.R. Cayan, and V. Misra
A High-Resolution Ocean-Atmosphere coupled downscaling of a present climate over California, Clim. Dyn., doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-1670-7, 2013.
Lee, J.-H., J. Worden, D.-C. Koh, K. Yoshimura, and J.-E. Lee
A seasonality of δ D of water vapor (850-500 hPa) observed from space over Jeju island, Korea, Geosciences J., 17, 87-95, 2013.
Hirabayashi, Y., R. Maendran, S. Koirala, L. Konoshima, D. Yamazaki, S. Watanabe, H. Kim, and S. Kanae
Global flood risk under climate change, Nature Climate Change, 3, 816-821, 2013.
de Linage, C., H. Kim, J. S. Famiglietti, and J.-Y. Yu
Impact of Pacific and Atlantic sea surface temperatures on interannual and decadal variations of GRACE land water storage in tropical South America, JGR-Atmos., 118, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50820, 2013.
Supraba I., T. J. Yamada
Catchment storage estimation based on total rainfall-total loss rainfall relationship for 47 catchments in Japan, Annual Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, JSCE, Vol. 58, 2014.
Wei, Z., A. Okazaki, H. Maeda, Y. Satoh, M. Kiguchi, K. Noda, M. Koike, W. Kim, Z. Liu, and K. Yoshimura,
Investigating vegetation-atmosphere water exchange by using high frequency spectroscopy vapor isotope observations, 土木学会水工学論文集, 第58 巻, 2014.
<Publication(submitted)>
Liu, Z., K. Yoshimura, N. H. Buenning, X. He
Solar cycle modulation of the Pacific North 111 American teleconnection influence on North American winter climate, submitted to Environ. Res. Letters.
Bhattarai, R., K. Yoshimura, S. Seto, S. Nakamura, T. Oki
Statistical model for economic damage from flood inundation in Japan using rainfall data and socio-economic parameters, submitted to Hydrol. Sci. J.
Suwarman, R., K. Ichiyanagi, M. Tanoue, K. Yoshimura, S. Mori, M. Yamanaka, F. Syamsudin
El Nino southern oscillation signature in stable isotopes of precipitation over Maritime Continent during wet seasons, submitted to Hydrol. Sci. J.
Lee, J.-W., S.-Y. Hong, J.-E. E. Kim, S. Ham, K. Yoshimura
Evaluation of the simulated river discharge over Korea in a dynamically downscale climate dataset, submitted to WRR.
Chang, E.-C., S.-W. Yeh , S.-Y. Hong , J.-E. Kim , R. Wu , K. Yoshimura,
Study on the changes in the East Asian precipitation in the mid-1990s using a high-resolution global downscaled atmospheric dataset, submitted to JGR-Atmos
Zhongfang Liu, Kei Yoshimura, Gabriel J. Bowen, Nikolaus H. Buenning, Camille Risi, Jeffrey M. Welker,
    Fasong Yuan,
PNA-like climate teleconnections in continental North America during the mid- and late Holocene epoch, submitted to Nature Communications.
Ortega, P., D. Swingedouw, V. Masson- Delmotte, C. Risi, B. Vinther, P. Yiou, R. Vautard,
    and K. Yoshimura
Characterizing atmospheric circulation signals in Greenland ice cores: insights from the weather regime approach, submitted to Clim. Dyn.
Berkelhammer, M., Sinha, A., Mudelsee, M., Cheng, H., Yoshimura, K., and Biswas, J
On the low frequency component of the ENSO-Indian Monsoon relationship; a paired proxy perspective, Clim. Past Discuss., 9, 3103-3123, doi:10.5194/cpd-9-3103-2013
Nitta, T, K. Yoshimura, K. Takata, R. O'ishi, T. Sueyoshi, S. Kanae, T. Oki, A. Abe-Ouchi,
    and G. E. Liston
Representing variability in subgrid snow cover and snow depth in a global land model: Offline validation, submitted to J.Clim.
<Presentation(including poster)>
Atsushi Okazaki; Yusuke Satoh; Guillaume Tremoy; Francoise Vimeux; Kei Yoshimura
Interannual variability of vapor isotope in West Africa and its relation to ENSO, A11G-0135, AGU Fall meeting 2013, San Francisco, 2013.
Zhongwang Wei; Hidetoshi Maeda; Atsushi Okazaki; Keigo Noda; Masashi Kiguchi; Masahiro Koike; Wonsik Kim;
    Masaharu Yokoi; Kei Yoshimura
High-frequency water vapor isotope measurements with a laser spectrometer in a paddy field during growing season and application for evapotranspiration partitioning, B21A-0456, AGU Fall meeting 2013, San Francisco, 2013.
Akane Saya; Eun-Chul Chang; Kei Yoshimura; Taikan Oki
Simulation of radioactive tracer transport using IsoRSM and uncertainty analysis, H21C-1059, AGU Fall meeting 2013, San Francisco, 2013.
Nikolaus H. Buenning; Lowell D. Stott; Lisa Kanner; Kei Yoshimura
Simulated shifts in the midlatitude storm tracks over the western US detected through isotopes in precipitation and vapor, GC23E-07, AGU Fall meeting 2013, San Francisco, 2013.
Gabriel J. Bowen; Zhongfang Liu; Kei Yoshimura
Water isotope indicies for paleoclimate modes (Invited), PP42C-01, AGU Fall meeting 2013, San Francisco, 2013.
Chun-Ta Lai; Kei Yoshimura; John Worden
Linking evapotranspiration, boundary-layer processes and atmospheric moisture using isotope tracer modeling and data, A51B-0024, AGU Fall meeting 2013, San Francisco, 2013.
Kei Yoshimura
Observation System Simulation Experiment (OSSE) using water vapor isotopes, 112 H51I-1321, AGU Fall meeting 2013, San Francisco, 2013.
Tomohito J. Yamada; Yadu N. Pokhrel; Koki Yamahara; Naota Hanasaki; Sujan Koirala; Pat J. Yeh;
    Shinjiro Kanae; Taikan Oki
Subseasonal forecast skill of the 1988 U.S. drought is linked to human activities (Invited), AGU Fall meeting 2013, San Francisco, 2013.
Dwi Prabowo Yuga Suseno and Tomohito J. Yamada
The role of GPS precipitable water vapor and atmosphere stability index in the stability index in the statistically-based rainfall estimation using MTSAT data, AGU Fall meeting 2013, San Francisco, 2013.
Taikan Oki, Hyungjun KIM, Craig R Ferguson, Paul Dirmeyer, and Sonia I Seneviratne
Global water balances reconstructed by multi-model offline simulations of land surface models under GSWP3, AGU Fall meeting 2013, San Francisco, 2013.
Hyungjun Kim, Nobuyuki Utsumi, and Taikan Oki
Estimation of Uncertainty Propagation through Terrestrial Hydrologic Simulations and Objective Evaluation Strategy for In-situ and Satellite Observations of Precipitation, AGU Fall meeting 2013, San Francisco, 2013.
Kei Yoshimura
Isotope data assimilations: Possibility and problems to be solved (invited), First International Workshop On Advances In Observations, Models And Measurement Techniques Of Atmospheric Water Vapor Isotopes, Paris, 2013 Oct.
Kei Yoshimura
Incremental Interpolation in the Dynamical Downscaling, International Workshop on Downscaling 2013, Tsukuba, 2013.
Rajan Bhattarai, Kei Yoshimura, Shinta Seto, Taikan Oki
Vulnerability and damage functions for economical damage by flood inundation in Japan using exceedance probability index of rainfall and macro-scale economic parameters, 水文水資源学会年次講演会、神戸、2013.
Mehwish Ramzan, Kei Yoshimura, Muhammad Amjad, Eun-Chul Chang
Comparative study of 2010-2011 floods in Pakistan using regional spectral model (IsoRSM), 水文水資源学会年次講演会、神戸、2013.
新田友子、芳村圭、高田久美子、大石龍太、鼎信次郎、沖大幹
Glen E. Liston、陸面モデルにおけるサブグリッドスケールの積雪被覆率と積雪深の変化の表現、2013JpGU、幕張、2013年5月
Yoshimura, K
Water isotope modeling and observations toward reconstruction for Asian hydroclimatology, 2013JpGU, Makuhari, May 2013.
Liu, Z., K. Yoshimura, G.J. Bowen, L. Tian
Modern monsoon extent and moisture dynamics over eastern Asian: evidence from precipitation and water vapor isotopes, EGU2013, Vienna, April 2013.
Steen-Larsen, H.C., V. Masson-Delmotte, C. Risi, K. Yoshimura, B. Stenni, A. Landais, B. Vinther
The ability of isotope enabled Global Circulation Models to simulate observed water vapor isotopic composition above the Greenland Ice Sheet. EGU2013, Vienna, April 2013.
Steen-Larsen, H. C., A. E. Sveinbjörnsdottir, M. Werner, C. Risi, K. Yoshimura, A. J. Peters, J. Rosset
Continuous water vapor isotopic composition observations in the sub-tropical North Atlantic (Bermuda), EGU2013, Vienna, April 2013.
Ortega, P., D. Swingedouw, V. Masson-Delmotte, C. Risi, R. Vautaurd, P. Yiou, K. Yoshimura, B. Vinther
Weather regimes and Greenland ice-core variability in the instrumental period, EGU2013, Vienna, April 2013.
  
( ii ) Producing a standard climate scenario by using super high resolution models
  
  (a)Development of quantification method for reliability and uncertainty of climate change information
  ※Refer to(b)for results
  (b)Downscaling of the change in future weather extremes by using high-resolution models
<Publication>
Blackburn, M., D. L. Williamson, K. Nakajima, W. Ohfuchi, Y. O. Takahashi, Y.-Y. Hayashi, H. Nakamura,
    M. Ishiwatari, J. McGregor, H. Borth, V. Wirth, H. Frank, P. Bechtold, N. P. Wedi, H. Tomita, M. Satoh,
    M. Zhao, I. M. Held, M. J. Suarez, M.-I. Lee, M. Watanabe, M. Kimoto, Y. Liu, Z. Wang, A. Molod,
    K. Rajendran, A. Kitoh and R. Stratton, 2013
The Aqua-Planet Experiment (APE): CONTROL SST simulation. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 91A, 17-56, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2013-A02.
Champathong, A. D. Komori, M. Kiguchi, T. Sukkhapunnapan, T. Nakaegawa, and T. Oki. 2013
Future projection of mean river discharge climatology for the Chao Phraya River basin. Hydrological Research Letters.
Endo, H. and A. Kitoh, 2014
Thermodynamic and dynamic effects on regional monsoon rainfall changes in a warmer climate. Geophys. Res. Lett, doi:10.1002/2013GL059158.
Fábrega, J., T. Nakaegawa, R. Pinzón, K. Nakayama, O. Arakawa, 2013
SOUSEI Theme-C modeling group. Hydroclimate projections for Panama in the 21st Century. Hydrological Research Letters.
Hall, T.C., A.M. Seally, T.S. Stephenson, S. Kusunoki, M.A. Taylor, A. A. Chen and A. Kitoh 2013
Future climate of the Caribbean from a super-high-resolution atmospheric general circulation model. Theor. Appl. Climatol., 113, 271-287, doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0779-7.
Kimura, N., A. Tai, S. Chiang, H.-P. Wei, Y.-F. Su, C.-T. Cheng and A. Kitoh, 2014
Hydrological flood simulation using a design hyetograph created from extreme weather data of a 197 high-resolution atmospheric general circulation model. Water (accepted)
Kusunoki, S., and R. Mizuta, 2013
Change in the precipitation intensity over East Asia for the 20th and 21st centuries simulated by global atmospheric models with 60-km grid size. Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, 118, 11,007-11,016, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50877.
Kusaka, H., K. Nawata, A. Suzuki-Parker, Y. Takane, and N. Furuhashi, 2013
Mechanism of precipitation increase with urbanization in Tokyo as revealed by ensemble climate simulations, J. Appl. Meteor. Clim., in press
Murakami, H., P.-C. Hsu, O. Arakawa, and T. Li, 2013
Influence of model biases on projected future changes in tropical cyclone frequency of occurrence. J. Climate., in press.
Murakami, H., M. Sugi and A. Kitoh, 2013
Future changes in tropical cyclone activity in the North Indian Ocean projected by high resolution MRI-AGCMs. Climate Dynamics, 40, 1949-1968, doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1407-z.
Murakami, H., T. Li, and M. Peng, 2013
Changes to environmental parameters that control tropical cyclone genesis under global warming. Geophys. Res. Lett., 40 (10), 2265-2270.
Murakami, H., B. Wang, T. Li and A. Kitoh, 2013
Projected increase in tropical cyclones near Hawaii. Nature Climate Change, 3, 749-754, doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE1890.
Nakaegawa, T., A. Kitoh, Y. Ishizaki, S. Kusunoki and H. Murakami, 2013
Caribbean lowlevel jets and accompanying moisture fluxes in a global warming climate projected with CMIP3 multi-model ensemble and fine-mesh atmospheric general circulation models. Int. J. Climatol., doi:10.1002/joc.3733.
Nakaegawa, T., A. Kitoh, H. Murakami and S. Kusunoki, 2013
Annual maximum 5-day rainfall total and maximum number of consecutive dry days over Central America and the Caribbean in the late twenty-first century projected by an atmospheric general circulation model with three different horizontal resolutions. Theor. Appl. Climatol., doi:10.1007/s00704-013-0934-9. (in press).
Nakayama, K., Y. Maruya, T. Nakaegawa, T. Okada, K. Komai, T. Ishida. 2013
Statistical downscaling of wind projects recovery from hypoxia in Tokyo Bay will increasingly be enhanced by" strong wind" events in the future. Hydrological Processes, 27, DOI: 10.1002/hyp.9829.
Ogata, T., 2013
The effect of the Australian-Maritime continents on the Indian Ocean dipole mode in an idealized coupled general circulation model. SOLA, 9, 84-88, doi:10.2151/sola.2013-019.
Rahman, M. M., M. Rafiuddin, M. M. Alam, S. Kusunoki, A. Kitoh, F. Giorgi, 2013
Summer monsoon rainfall scenario over Bangladesh using a high-resolution AGCM. Nat Hazards, 69, 793-807, doi: 10.1007/s11069-013-0734-7.
Rajendran, K., A. Kitoh and J. Srinivasan, 2013
Effect of SST variation on ITCZ in APE simulations. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 91A, 195-215, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2013-A06.
Rajendran, K., S. Sajani, C.B. Jayasankar and A. Kitoh, 2013
How dependent is climate change projection of Indian summer monsoon rainfall and extreme events on model resolution? Current Science, 104, 1409-1418.
T. Nakaegawa, A. Kitoh, and M. Hosaka. 2013
River discharge projection with MRI-AGCMs (20-km horizontal resolution). Hydrological Processes. DOI: 10.1002/hyp.9831.
Williamson, D. L., M. Blackburn, K. Nakajima, W. Ohfuchi, Y. O. Takahashi, Y.-Y. Hayashi, H. Nakamura,
  M. Ishiwatari, J. McGregor, H. Borth, V. Wirth, H. Frank, P. Bechtold, N. P. Wedi, H. Tomita, M. Satoh,
  M. Zhao, I. M. Held, M. J. Suarez, M.-I. Lee, M. Watanabe, M. Kimoto, Y. Liu, Z. Wang, A. Molod,
  K. Rajendran, A. Kitoh and R. Stratton, 2013
The Aqua-Planet Experiment (APE): Response to changed meridional SST profile. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 91A, 57-89, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2013-A03.
Akimoto,Y., and H. Kusaka
A climatological study of fog in Japan based on the event data. Atmospheric Research, submitted.
Murakami, H., T. Li, and P. -C. Hsu, 2014
Contributing factors to the recent high level of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) and Power Dissipation Index (PDI) in the North Atlantic. J. Climate, in press.
Takayabu, I., H. Kanamaru, K. Dairaku, R. Benestadt, H. von Storch, and J. H. Christensen, 2014
Ascertning the quality and utility of downscaling data. The Science of the Total Environment, submitted.
<Book>
Alpert, P., D. Hemmings, F. Jin, G. Kay, A. Kitoh and A. Mariotti, 2013
The Hydrological Cycle of the Mediterranean. In: A. Navarra and L. Tubiana (eds.) Regional Assessment of Climate Change in the Mediterranean, Advances in Global Change Research 50, doi 10.1007/978-94-007-5781-3_8, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2013. (in press)
Alpert, P., F. Jin and A. Kitoh, 2014
The Projected Death of the Fertile Crescent. In: J. Norwine(ed.), A World After Climate Change and Culture-Shift. Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht, 193-203, doi:10.1007/978-94-007-7353-0.
Kitoh, A.
Global climate model and projected hydro-meteorological extremes in the future. In: Extreme Natural Hazards, Disaster Risks and Societal Implications. Edited by A. Ismail-Zadeh, J. Urrutia-Fucugaughi, A. Kijko, K. Takeuchi and I. Zaliapin. Cambridge University Press (in press)
Christensen, J. H., K. Krishna Kumar, E. Aldrian, S.-I. An, I. F. A. Cavalcanti, M. de Castro, W. Dong,
    P. Goswami, A. Hall, J. K. Kanyanga, A. Kitoh, J. Kossin, N.-C. Lau, J. Renwick, D. Stephenson, S.-P. Xie
    and T. Zhou, 2013: Climate Phenomena and their Relevance for Future Regional Climate Change.
    In: Climate Change 2013
The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T. F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P. M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, in press.
Rajendran, K., A Kitoh and S. Sajani, 2014
Ultra-high Resolution Global Model Climate Change Projection for India: A Data Intensive Paradigm. In: Geospatial Technologies and Climate Change [Sundaresan, J., K.M. Santosh, A. Deri, R. Roggema and R. Singh (eds.)], Springer, doi:10.1007/978-3-319-01689-4, 217-236
<Report>
Kawai, H., H. Yonehara, and M. Ujiie, 2013
Vertical layer placement in the Eta coordinate for models with a high model top. CAS/JSC WGNE Research Activities in Atmospheric and Oceanic Modelling/WMO, 43, 0303-0304.
Kawai, H., 2013
Improvement of a stratocumulus scheme for mid-latitude marine low clouds. CAS/JSC WGNE Research Activities in Atmospheric and Oceanic Modelling/WMO, 43, 0403-0404.
<Presentation(including poster)>
Aoyagi, T., N. Seino, F. Shido, and H. Sasaki, 2013
Impact of the urban land surface parameterization on the reproduction of present climate (2001-2006). Sixth China-Korea-Japan Joint Conference on Meteorology, 23-25 October 2013, Nanjing, China.
Cruz, F. T., G. T. Narisma and H. Sasaki, 2013
NHRCM simulation of heavy rainfall variability in the Philippines. Internationa Conference on Regional Climate-CORDEX 2013, 4-7 November 2013, Brussels, Belgium.
Endo, H., A. Kitoh, T. Ose, R. Mizuta and S. Kusunoki, 2013
Future changes in onset and retreat of the Asian summer rainy season simulated by multi-physics and multi-SST ensemble experiments with high-resolution MRI-AGCMs. JpGU Meeting 2013, AHW02-15. 21 May 2013, Makuhari, Chiba, Japan.
Endo, H., A. Kitoh, T. Ose, R. Mizuta and S. Kusunoki, 2013
Future changes in onset and retreat of the Asian summer rainy season simulated by multi-physics and multi-SST ensemble experiments with high-resolution MRI-AGCMs. AOGS 10th Annual Meeting, 27 June 2013, Brisbane, Australia.
Hibino, K., I. Takayabu, and T. Nakaegawa, 2013
The Climate Analogues of the Cities in Australia at the end of the 21st Century. Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, CSIRO Water and Land Division Informal Seminar, 28 Oct. 2013, Sydney, Australia.
Hibino, K., I. Takayabu and T. Nakaegawa, 2013
The Climate Analogues of the cities in eastern Asia at the end of the 21st Century. Sixth China-Korea-Japan Joint Conference on Meteorology, 23-25 Oct. Nanjing China.
Hosaka, M. and A. Kitoh, 2013
West African monsoon in the MRI-AGCM3. AGU 2013 Fall Meeting, 9-13 December 2013, San Francisco, USA.
Kanehama, T., 2014
Vertical resolution increase of the Japan Meteorological Agency Global Spectral Model. 94th AMS Annual Meeting, 2-6 February, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Kato, T., 2013
Effect of Warm Ocean Current on Accumulation of Low-Level Water Vapor to Cause High Impact Weather: Case Study of 6 May 2012 Tsukuba Tornado Event. The 5th International Workshop on Monsoons (IWM-V), 28 October - 1 November, Macao, China.
Kawai, H., S. Yukimoto, T, Koshiro, T, Ose, and T, Tanaka, 2013
Characteristics of clouds and aerosol indirect effects in the MRI-CGCM3. AGU 2013 Fall Meeting, 9-13 December 2013, San Francisco, USA.
Kawai, H., 2014
Importance of minor treatments in parameterizations in GCMs for the cloud representations and the cloud feedbacks.. WCRP Grand Challenge Workshop, 24-28 March 2014, Rottach-Egern, Germany.
Kitoh, A., 2013
Belmont Forum, Pre-Scoping Workshop Meeting, CRA "Climate Services: Seasonal to Decadal Predictability of Regional Climate (incl. monsoons and polar areas)", 24-25 June 2013, Paris
Kitoh, A. 2013
Changes in global and regional monsoon precipitation projected by CMIP5 models. FOCRAII-9, 8 April 2013, Beijing, China.
Kitoh, A., H. Endo, K. Krishna Kumar, 2013
I.F.A. Cavalcanti, P. Goswami and T. Zhou, Monsoons in a changing world: a regional perspective in a global context. DACA-13, 9 July 2013, Davos, Switzerland. [invited] .
Kitoh, A,. 2013
Dynamical downscaling for climate extremes projections. International Conference on Regional Climate – CORDEX 2013, 4-7 November 2013, Brussels, Belgium. [invited].
Kitoh, A. and H. Endo, 2013
Monsoon precipitation in the future warmer climate, The 5th International Workshop on Monsoons (IWM-V), 28 October-1 November, Macao, China. [invited] .
Kitoh, A. and H. Endo, 2014
Projection of regional monsoon rainfall changes: thermodynamic and dynamic effects. TCCIP International Workshop on Climate Change 2014, 13-16 January 2014, Hualien, Taiwan.
Kitoh, A., 2014
SOUSEI-C - Development of Basic Technology for Risk Information on Climate Change.TCCIP and SOUSEI Joint Meeting, 13 January 2014, Hualien, Taiwan.
Kusunoki, S., R. Mizuta, 2013
Changes in precipitation intensity over East Asia projected by a 60km-mesh global atmospheric model. AS01-A010 Climate Change and Tropical Climatic Hazards in Asia Oceania, 26 June 2013, Brisbane, Australia.
Kusunoki, S., R. Mizuta, 2013
Changes in Precipitation Intensity over East Asia Projected by a 60km-mesh GlobalAtmospheric Model. The 5th International Workshop on Monsoons (IWM-V), 28 October - 1 November, Macao, China.
Kusunoki, S. and B. Dawadi, 2013
Future precipitation change over Nepal projected by 20-km mesh atmospheric global model. International Conference on Climate Change, Water Resources and Disasters in Mountainous Regions: Building Resilience to Changing Climate, 27 November 2013, Kathmandu, Nepal.
Kusunoki, S., 2014
Future precipitation change over Latin America and the Caribbean by 20-km and 60-km mesh atmospheric global models. WCRP Conference for Latin America and the Caribbean: Developing, linking and applying climate knowledge, 17-21 March 2014, Montevideo, Uruguay.
Matsueda, S. and Y. Takaya, 2013
The Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on Extreme Weather Events. The 5th International Workshop on Monsoons (IWM-V), 28 October-1 November, Macao, China.
Mizuta, R., 2014
Climate projections using MRI-AGCM3.2 with 20-km and 60-km grid. TCCIP International Workshop on Climate Change 2014 (TCCIP-IWCC 2014), 13-16 January 2014, Hualien, Taiwan.
Murakami, H., B. Wang, T. Li, and A. Kitoh, 2013
Projected future increase in tropical cyclones near Hawaii. The next-generation of climate models and knowledge discoveries through the extreme high-performance simulations and big data, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, CA, USA, 20-22 March 2013.
Murakami, H., 2013
Uncertainties in future changes in tropical cyclone activity projected by multi-physics and multi-SST ensemble experiments. U.S. CLIVAR Hurricane Workshop, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, 5-7 June 2013, Princeton, NJ, USA. [Invited]
Murakami, H. 2013
Where will typhoons occur more or less in the future? 2013 APEC Typhoon Symposium, NTU GIS Convention Center, Taipei, Taiwan, 21-22 October 2013.
Murata,A., 2014
Evaluation of present climate in non-hydrostatic regional climate simulations for SOUSEI program. TCCIP International Workshop on Climate Change 2014 (TCCIPIWCC 2014), 13-16 January 2014, Hualien, Taiwan.
Murata, A., H. SASAKI, M. HANAFUSA, and K. Kurihara. 2013
Early-summer low temperature extremes in Japan projected by a nonhydrostatic regional climate model. AOGS 10th Annual Meeting, 27 June 2013, Brisbane, Australia.
Nakaegawa, T., 2013
Changes in hydroclimate in a changing climate projected with high resolution (20-km) global climate model. Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, CSIRO Water and Land Division Informal Seminar, 25 Oct. 2013, Sydney, Australia.
Nakaegawa, T., S. Kusunoki, M. Sugi, and Global Modeling Group, 2013
Change in the Precipitation Intensity over East Asia and in Tropical Cyclone Frequency in the 228- year Simulations by a Global Atmospheric Model with 60-km Grid Size6th International CLIVAR Climate of the 20th Century Workshop 5-8 November 2013, School of Earth Sciences, University of Melbourne, Australia.
Ogata, T., 2014
Interdecadal amplitude modulation of El Nino/Southern Oscillation and its impacts on tropical Pacific decadal variability. 2014 Ocean Science Meeting, 23-28 February 2014, Hawaii, USA.
Ose, T., R. Mizuta, T. Nakaegawa, S. Kusunoki, and I. Takayabu, 2013
Verification and Application of High-resolution AGCMs for Climatology. Sixth China-Korea-Japan Joint Conference on Meteorology, 23-25 October 2013, Nanjing China.
Sakamoto, M., K. Kawano, K. Aranami. T. Hara, H. Kusabiraki, J. Ishida, C. Muroi, and Y. Kitamura, 2013
Computational instability arising from Yin-Yang boundary. 19th AMS Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics, 20 June 2013, Newport, Rhode Island, USA.
Shindo, E., 2013
The Madden-Julian Oscillation in the MRI-AGCM. A GASS/MJO TF Meeting on the Heating and Moistening Processes of the Madden-Julian Oscillation, 3-5 June 2013, Centre for Climate Research Singapore (CCRS), Singapore.
Sperber, K.R., E. Cuisinier, A. Kitoh, C.R. Mechoso, W. Moufouma-Okia, K. Schiro and A.G. Turner 2013
Modelling monsoons. The 5th International Workshop on Monsoons (IWM-V), 28 October - 1 November, Macao, China. [invited] .
Takemura, K., 2013
Primary factors of cold winter 2012/2013 in East Asia. The 5th International Workshop on Monsoons (IWM-V), 28 October - 1 November, Macao, China.
Takayabu I., K. Dairaku, G. Ueno, K. Yoshimura, H. Ueda, and K. Tsuboki , 2013
Introduction of a New Program in Japan for Research on Risk Assessment of Climate Change. Sixth China-Korea-Japan Joint Conference on Meteorology, 23-25 October 2013, Nanjing China.
Tsunematsu N., K. Dairaku, J. Hirano, 2013
Relationship between future changes in summertime precipitation and topography in the Japanese islands. JpGU Meeting 2013, AHW02-15. 21 May 2013, Makuhari, Chiba, Japan.
Ueda, U., 2013
Formation of the global monsoon - A comparison between the past and future -. 21 May 2013, Makuhari, Chiba, Japan.
Yoshida, K., and R. Mizuta, 2013
Future changes and uncertainties in the tropical tropopause layer by multi-physics and multi-SST ensemble experiments with MRI-AGCM3.2. Sixth China-Korea-Japan Joint Conference on Meteorology, 23-25 October 2013, Nanjing China.
  
  (c)Development of a coupled ocean-atmosphere non-hydrostatic model for typhoon research
<Publication>
Sun, W.-Y., O. M. Sun, and K. Tsuboki
A modified atmospheric non-hydrostatic model on low 241 aspect ratio grids: part II. Tellus, 65A, 19681(doi), 2013.
Kanada,S., H. Tsuguti, T. Kato, and F. Fujibe
Diurnal variation in precipitation around western Japan during the warm season. SOLA, submitted.
<Presentation(including poster>
Aiki, H., , R.J. Greatbatch
"A new expression for the form stress term in the vertically Lagrangian mean framework for the effect of surface waves on the upper ocean circulation", (WISE 2013), 21-25 April 2013, College Park, Maryland, USA
Aiki, H., , R.J. Greatbatch, H. Tamura, M. Yoshioka, K. Tsuboki
"Momentum fluxes to ocean circulation as given by the dissipation rate of surface gravity waves under tropical cyclone conditions", 5th International Workshop on Modeling the Ocean (IWMO 2013), 17-20 June 2013, Bergen, Norway
Aiki, H., , R.J. Greatbatch, H. Tamura, M. Yoshioka, K. Tsuboki
"Momentum fluxes to ocean circulation as given by the dissipation rate of surface waves under tropical cyclone conditions", International Workshop on Ocean Waves and Related Processes, 26 July 2013, Yokohama, Japan
Aiki, H., , R.J. Greatbatch, H. Tamura, M. Yoshioka, K. Tsuboki
"Momentum fluxes to ocean circulation as given by the dissipation rate of surface waves under tropical cyclone conditions", Scale Interactions in Climate Variability, 1 November 2013, Yokohama, Japan
Aiki, H., , R.J. Greatbatch
"A new expression for the form stress term in the vertically Lagrangian mean framework for the effect of surface waves on the upper ocean circulation", Ocean Sciences Meeting, 2014, 24-28 February 2014, Honolulu, USA
相木秀則,R.J.Greatbatch
Greatbatch,"慣性重力波によるエネルギーフラックスの位相独立表現",2013年度海洋学会秋季大会,2013年9月18-20 日,北海道大学
Kanada, S., A. Wada, and K. Tsuboki, 2013
Impact of ice-phase microphysics on inner-core processes in simulated extremely intense tropical cyclone. TC seminar 2013, 23 October,Kyoto, Japan.
Tsuboki, K., 2013
Development of a coupled ocean-atmosphere non-hydrostatic model and typhoon simulation. The next-generation of climate models and knowledge discoveries through the extreme high-performance simulations and big data, March 22, 2013, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, California, U.S.A.
Tsuboki, K., 2013
Simulation experiment of tornadoes formed along typhoon rainbands using a cloud-resolving model. International Symposium on Earth-Science Challenges (ISEC) 2013, October 3-5, 2013 Uji, Kyoto, Japan.
Tsuboki, K., C. Velden and T. Nakazawa
Re-estimation of the maximum intensity of the most intense typhoon using the Advanced Dvorak Technique. 日本気象学会 2013年度 秋季大会,仙台国際センター,仙台,2013年度秋季大会講演予稿集D164(p.173),2013年11月18日-21日

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